Football
First League First League
· Relegation Group - 37
Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia

1–1

Full Time

Dobrudzha

Dobrudzha

🏟 Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
🟡 R. Gidzhenov
📋 Relegation Group - 37
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Septemvri Sofia Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.3 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

Septemvri Sofia show clear superiority with a 67% home form and a 64% attacking metric, while H2H records reveal they have won 5 out of 8 encounters. Season stats also favor them with consistent performance and a better overall record compared to Dobrudzha. Multiple independent metrics, including a 62% home advantage in H2H and a 60.5% overall team advantage, align in their favor. Although there is some historical variance, the convergence of 67% form and 64% Poisson distribution indicates strong confidence. This pick is taken with a conservative probability estimate of 85%.

Best Value

Septemvri Sofia Win

3-Way Result

Given the strong home statistics, a 67% form compared to 33% for the away side and an H2H advantage of 62% for Septemvri Sofia, the value bet remains on the 3-Way Result favoring Septemvri Sofia Win. Despite bookmaker odds of 1.30 implying a 76.9% chance, we assign a boosted probability of 85% based on alignment of season and comparison metrics. This creates a modest value edge, although not as high as the ideal 30% threshold. Convergence between metrics and recent H2H results supports this pick while acknowledging some risk. Thus, this value option is selected with an estimated probability of 85% and a conservative value edge rating.

85%

prob.

1.3

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Septemvri Sofia Win

67% home form vs 33% away form

85%

odds 1.3

Double Chance

Septemvri Sofia or Draw

60.5% overall team advantage

90%

odds 1.06

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
No data
Dobrudzha
Dobrudzha
No data

Head to Head

22 May 26
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
1–1
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
D
8 Feb 26
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
3–0
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
H
18 Aug 25
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
2–1
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
H
3 May 24
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
0–0
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
D
23 Oct 23
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
2–0
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
1 1 3
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
1 1 3
3
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
1 0 1
4
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
1 0 1
5
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
1 0 1
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
1 0 1
7
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
1 0 1
8
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
1 0 1
9
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
1 0 1
10
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
1 0 1
11
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
1 0 1
12
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
1 0 1
13
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
1 0 0
14
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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