Ludogorets
Full Time
CSKA Sofia
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Ludogorets Win
3-Way Result
78%
confidence
Our highest confidence bet is the 3-Way Result pick for a Ludogorets win. Despite mixed form data – Ludogorets last‐5 form stands at 27% while CSKA’s is 47% – the Poisson distribution at 65% for home and season scoring (60 total goals) support a win. H2H data also offer support with 5 wins in 10 matchups and a 38% home advantage from comparison metrics. This pick, however, comes with caution due to conflicting recent form and risk factors. The bet is backed by multiple independent metrics converging on a favorable outcome for Ludogorets. Overall, we conservatively rate the probability at 78%.
Best Value
Ludogorets/Ludogorets
HT/FT Double
The best value option is the HT/FT Double bet on a Ludogorets/Ludogorets outcome. Here, multiple season metrics indicate strong home performance with 9 wins out of 17 home league fixtures and a robust scoring record (1.8 goals per match). With a probability set at 80% and given bookmaker odds of 2.60 (implying only about 38.5% probability), the value edge exceeds 40%. This convergence of H2H and season evidence makes it a compelling value play despite the inherent match risks. The evidence suggests a strong likelihood of Ludogorets dominating both halves. Hence, we assign it a high value rating.
80%
prob.
2.6
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Ludogorets Win
Poisson distribution at 65%
78%
odds 1.67
Double Chance
Ludogorets or Draw
H2H losses at only 20%
85%
odds 1.17
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Levski Sofia | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ● | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 |  Spartak Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  CSKA 1948 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 |  Botev Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 |  Cherno More Varna | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Lokomotiv Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Botev Vratsa | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Arda Kardzhali | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 |  Septemvri Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Sofia ● | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Slavia Sofia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Dunav Ruse | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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