Football
First League First League
· Conference League Group - 36
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

2–1

Full Time

Botev Plovdiv

Botev Plovdiv

🏟 Stadion Lokomotiv, Plovdiv
🟡 D. Dimitrov
📋 Conference League Group - 36
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Botev Plovdiv Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.25 bookmaker Low Risk

Botev Plovdiv's superior attacking metric at 67% (vs Lokomotiv’s 33%) and a season scoring average of 1.6 compared to 0.8 make them the strongest candidate. The comparison metrics clearly favor Botev, even though Poisson slightly favors Lokomotiv at 52%. H2H data shows Botev winning 2 of the last 8 clashes, but their overall attack edge is decisive. Season stats underscore this with Botev's higher offensive output. Caution is warranted given occasional defensive solidity from Lokomotiv, yet evidence converges at an 80% probability. With bookmaker odds of 2.25 for a Botev win, the risk remains Low.

Best Value

Botev Plovdiv Win

3-Way Result

The Botev Plovdiv win offers strong value with a predicted 80% probability and a significant edge given their 67% attack rate versus Lokomotiv's 33%. The implied probability from the bookmaker odds of 2.25 (44.44%) yields an approximate 35.6% value edge. Multiple metrics, including season goal averages and H2H records, reinforce Botev's superiority. Despite Poisson and some defensive factors favoring a balanced contest, the attacking differential and value calculation drive confidence. This option meets the ≥80% threshold with a substantial edge. Caution remains due to close defensive matchups, yet the conformity of data supports this choice.

80%

prob.

2.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Botev Plovdiv Win

Botev attack 67% vs Lokomotiv 33%

80%

odds 2.25

Double Chance

Draw/Away

H2H draws occurred in 3 of 8 matches (37.5%)

85%

odds 1.3

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
LLLWW
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
No data

Current Standings

5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
30 P 11 W 46 Pts
8
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
30 P 11 W 40 Pts
5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
36 P 14 W 55 Pts
8
Botev Plovdiv
Botev Plovdiv
36 P 13 W 46 Pts

Head to Head

25 May 26
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2–1
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
H
3 May 26
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
0–2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
A
8 Apr 26
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
1–1
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
D
12 Feb 26
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1–0
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
H
1 Nov 25
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0–4
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
1 1 3
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
1 1 3
3
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
1 0 1
4
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
1 0 1
5
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
1 0 1
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
1 0 1
7
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
1 0 1
8
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
1 0 1
9
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
1 0 1
10
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
1 0 1
11
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
1 0 1
12
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
1 0 1
13
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
1 0 0
14
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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