Football
First League First League
· Conference League Group - 36
Cherno More Varna

Cherno More Varna

2–3

Full Time

Arda Kardzhali

Arda Kardzhali

🏟 Ticha, Varna
🟡 K. Kolev
📋 Conference League Group - 36
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Cherno More Varna or Draw

Double Chance

88%

confidence

Odds: 1.5 bookmaker Low Risk

Our analysis points to a highly safe outcome when combining home performance with a cushion against an away win. Cherno More’s last-5 form stands at 67% while overall home form in comparison metrics is 59% versus Arda’s 41%, and multiple H2H fixtures ended goalless or as draws. This makes the double chance bet on Cherno More Varna or Draw a very attractive option. Season data for Cherno More shows robust defensive displays with 10 home clean sheets and a high incidence of low-scoring matches. The convergence of these metrics underpins our 88% confidence for this market. Given the bookmaker odds of 1.50 for “Cherno More Varna or Draw”, the value edge is notably attractive.

Best Value

Cherno More Varna or Draw

Double Chance

In terms of value, the Double Chance bet on Cherno More Varna or Draw again offers compelling odds when the safe nature of this market is considered. With an estimated probability of 88%, the implied fair odds would be around 1.14 making the bookmaker’s odds of 1.50 yield a value edge of approximately 32%. Comparatively, home metrics, such as a 59% win form and 67% last-5 form for Cherno More, combine with frequent goalless H2H outcomes to support a low-risk scenario. This option not only offers high confidence but also an edge that exceeds the 30% threshold. Multiple independent measures, including season defensive stats and H2H frequencies, converge to support this value call. It is thus our best optimal pick for this fixture.

88%

prob.

1.5

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

Draws observed in 4 out of 10 H2H matches (40%)

70%

odds 3.25

Double Chance

Cherno More Varna or Draw

Home form at 59% vs away at 41%

88%

odds 1.5

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
No data
Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali
No data

Current Standings

6
Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
30 P 11 W 44 Pts
7
Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali
30 P 12 W 44 Pts
6
Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali
36 P 15 W 54 Pts
7
Cherno More Varna
Cherno More Varna
36 P 14 W 54 Pts

Head to Head

25 May 26
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
2–3
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
A
3 May 26
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
0–0
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
D
4 Mar 26
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
0–0
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
D
12 Dec 25
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
0–3
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
A
22 Sept 25
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
0–1
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
1 1 3
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
1 1 3
3
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
1 0 1
4
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
1 0 1
5
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
1 0 1
6
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
1 0 1
7
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
1 0 1
8
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
1 0 1
9
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
1 0 1
10
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
1 0 1
11
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
1 0 1
12
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
1 0 1
13
Dunav Ruse Dunav Ruse
1 0 0
14
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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