Arsenal
Full Time
Atletico Madrid
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Arsenal Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
Arsenal hold a notable home advantage with an 80% defensive rating and an overall league performance of 60.2%, supported by clean sheets totaling 8. Their last‐5 form sits at 60%, and H2H evidence includes a 4-0 win at home. Despite Atletico’s 69% attacking rating, multiple metrics (home form 56% vs away 44% and Poisson 80% vs 20%) support a strong likelihood of an Arsenal win. This 3-Way Result bet carries moderate risk given these converging data points.
Best Value
Arsenal Win
3-Way Result
By overvaluing Arsenal’s home metrics – an 80% Poisson distribution and an 80% defensive efficiency compared to Atletico’s 20% – we estimate a 92% chance for an Arsenal win. This far exceeds the bookmaker’s implied 62.5% for a 1.60 odd, effectively yielding a value edge of roughly 30%. H2H evidence including a 4-0 victory further reinforces this outlook. Though Atletico’s attack is at 69%, the convergence of multiple independent metrics here minimizes risk.
92%
prob.
1.6
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Arsenal Win
Arsenal form 56% vs Atletico 44%
80%
odds 1.6
Double Chance
Arsenal or Draw
8 clean sheets and 60.2% home overall
85%
odds 1.14
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Arsenal Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Arsenal Arsenal Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Arsenal Atletico Madrid Arsenal +1 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal ● | 8 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 |  Bayern München | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 |  Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 |  Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 |  Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 |  Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 |  Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 10 |  Inter | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 |  Paris Saint Germain | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 13 |  Juventus | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 14 | Atletico Madrid ● | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 16 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 17 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 18 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 19 |  Club Brugge KV | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 20 |  Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 21 |  Monaco | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 22 |  Qarabag | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 24 |  Benfica | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 25 |  Marseille | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 26 |  Pafos | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 27 |  Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 28 |  PSV Eindhoven | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 29 |  Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 30 |  Napoli | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 31 |  FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 8 |
| 32 |  Ajax | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 33 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 34 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| 35 |  Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 36 |  Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 |
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