FC Lugano
Full Time
FC Basel 1893
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
FC Lugano or Draw
Double Chance
85%
confidence
The home side, FC Lugano, shows a clear advantage with a form of 77% compared to Basel’s 23%, and their last 5 form is 67% versus Basel’s 20%. This double chance option covers the risk of a draw, which is supported by Lugano’s solid defensive record of 75% compared to Basel’s 25% defensively. These metrics indicate a robust probability despite the competitive H2H record. Given the comprehensive evidence, we assign an 85% probability and a relatively low risk level.
Best Value
FC Lugano Win
3-Way Result
FC Lugano is strongly favored with a home win probability estimated at 90% when considering their 77% form, 55% attack, and 75% defensive solidity against Basel’s 23% form and 25% defense. The bookmaker odds of 1.80 for a home win in the 3-Way market imply only a 55.6% chance, offering a significant value edge of over 34%. The historical head-to-head provides mixed signals, but season stats support a dominant performance from Lugano. Convergence of multiple metrics underpins this value pick, though inherent risks remain due to balanced H2H data.
90%
prob.
1.8
odds
All Markets
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 in 31 out of 37 home games (83.8%)
80%
odds 1.25
BTTS
No
Basel failed to score in 4 away matches (50% failure rate)
60%
odds 1.67
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
FC Lugano FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893 FC Lugano FC Basel 1893 FC Lugano FC Lugano FC Basel 1893 FC Lugano FC Basel 1893 +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Thun | 33 | 24 | 74 |
| 2 |  FC ST. Gallen | 33 | 17 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Lugano ● | 33 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | FC Basel 1893 ● | 33 | 15 | 53 |
| 5 |  FC Sion | 33 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 |  BSC Young Boys | 33 | 13 | 48 |
| 7 |  FC Luzern | 33 | 10 | 40 |
| 8 |  Servette FC | 33 | 9 | 40 |
| 9 |  Lausanne | 33 | 10 | 39 |
| 10 |  FC Zurich | 33 | 10 | 34 |
| 11 |  Grasshoppers | 33 | 6 | 27 |
| 12 |  FC Winterthur | 33 | 4 | 19 |
| 1 | FC Thun | 38 | 24 | 75 |
| 2 | FC ST. Gallen | 38 | 20 | 70 |
| 3 | FC Lugano ● | 38 | 19 | 67 |
| 4 | FC Sion | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | FC Basel 1893 ● | 38 | 16 | 56 |
| 6 | BSC Young Boys | 38 | 15 | 55 |
| 1 | FC Luzern | 38 | 14 | 53 |
| 2 | Servette FC | 38 | 13 | 53 |
| 3 | Lausanne | 38 | 11 | 42 |
| 4 | FC Zurich | 38 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Grasshoppers | 38 | 8 | 33 |
| 6 | FC Winterthur | 38 | 5 | 23 |
Get the Full Match Experience
Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.
Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.