Larisa
Full Time
Atromitos
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Atromitos Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The data heavily favors Atromitos with an 85% advantage in head-to-head and a 75% goal comparison, supported by a strong last-5 form of 60% for Atromitos versus 27% for Larisa. The attacking metrics (75% vs 25%) and Poisson distribution (73% for Atromitos) further underline this trend. Given these converging stats, we are confident in an Atromitos win despite the away fixture. However, the moderate risk arises from the drawn outcomes seen in some H2H matches. Overall, the evidence points decisively to Atromitos winning. Hence, this is our highest confidence pick.
Best Value
Atromitos Win
3-Way Result
Atromitos Win stands out as the best value with an estimated 80% probability versus an implied probability of around 33.33% from the bookmaker odds of 3.00, offering a value edge of nearly 47%. The away team’s last-5 attack rate at 92% and a strong H2H advantage (85% away) contribute to this view. Multiple independent metrics converge on Atromitos' superiority, despite some risk from unpredictable draws. This option not only satisfies the minimum probability threshold but also provides significant value. It therefore qualifies as the best optimal pick.
80%
prob.
3
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Atromitos Win
H2H away percentage at 85%
80%
odds 3
Double Chance
Larisa or Atromitos
Double chance covers outcomes with Atromitos' 75% goal metric
90%
odds 1.36
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AEK Athens FC | 26 | 18 | 60 |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 26 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 |  PAOK | 26 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 |  Panathinaikos | 26 | 14 | 49 |
| 5 |  Levadiakos | 26 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 |  OFI | 26 | 10 | 32 |
| 7 |  Volos NFC | 26 | 9 | 31 |
| 8 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 26 | 6 | 30 |
| 9 | Atromitos ● | 26 | 7 | 29 |
| 10 |  Kifisia | 26 | 6 | 27 |
| 11 |  Panetolikos | 26 | 7 | 26 |
| 12 | Larisa ● | 26 | 4 | 23 |
| 13 |  Panserraikos | 26 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Asteras Tripolis | 26 | 3 | 17 |
| 1 | AEK Athens FC | 32 | 21 | 72 |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 32 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | PAOK | 32 | 18 | 64 |
| 4 | Panathinaikos | 32 | 14 | 52 |
| 1 | Atromitos ● | 36 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kifisia | 36 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | Asteras Tripolis | 36 | 8 | 36 |
| 4 | Panetolikos | 36 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Larisa ● | 36 | 5 | 30 |
| 6 | Panserraikos | 36 | 7 | 29 |
| 1 | Aris Thessalonikis | 32 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Levadiakos | 32 | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | OFI | 32 | 12 | 23 |
| 4 | Volos NFC | 32 | 9 | 17 |
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