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· Conference League Group - 38
Standard Liege

Standard Liege

0–0

Full Time

Genk

Genk

🏟 Maurice Dufrasne, Liege
🟡 Nicolas Laforge, Belgium
📋 Conference League Group - 38
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Standard Liege or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.7 bookmaker Low Risk

Our best bet is Double Chance with Standard Liege or Draw, supported by strong home form of 67% over 53% away form and balanced H2H where Standard Liege clinched 4 wins in 10 encounters. The league data shows Standard Liege’s home performance with 11 clean sheets compared to Genk’s 6 away, bolstering the safety of this selection. In addition, the comparison metric of form (56% home vs 44% away) adds further weight to a home team advantage. Although Genk’s away goal average is higher, the overall evidence converges on Standard Liege maintaining a positive outcome. This option is conservative with an 85% probability and modest risk. The odds provided for Double Chance “Standard Liege or Draw” are exactly 1.70.

Best Value

★★★★★

Standard Liege Win

3-Way Result

The best value option is the 3-Way Result with a Standard Liege Win, carrying an 80% probability. Despite some mixed data, the H2H record (4 wins for Standard Liege in 10 matches) and home advantage (67% recent form) indicate a strong leaning towards a home victory. With bookmaker odds of 3.10, the implied chance is only about 32%, yielding an approximate edge of 48%. Season statistics also favor Standard Liege with more clean sheets at home. Risks include Genk's higher away goal-scoring average, but the convergence of multiple metrics supports this choice. Overall, the value edge is significant and evidence is robust.

80%

prob.

3.1

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Standard Liege Win

Standard Liege last 5 form at 67% with 4 wins in 10 H2H matches

80%

odds 3.1

Double Chance

Standard Liege or Draw

67% last-5 form for Standard Liege and 11 home clean sheets

85%

odds 1.7

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Standard Liege
Standard Liege
No data
Genk
Genk
DDWDW

Current Standings

7
Genk
Genk
30 P 11 W 42 Pts
8
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
30 P 11 W 40 Pts
1
Genk
Genk
40 P 15 W 38 Pts
2
Standard Liege
Standard Liege
40 P 16 W 37 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
40 28 57
2
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
40 25 53
3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
40 22 43
4
Anderlecht Anderlecht
40 15 33
5
Gent Gent
40 13 29
6
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
40 13 29
1
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
36 13 48
2
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
36 10 41
3
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
36 7 34
4
Dender Dender
36 5 25
1
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
30 19 66
2
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
30 20 63
3
St. Truiden St. Truiden
30 18 57
4
Gent Gent
30 13 45
5
KV Mechelen KV Mechelen
30 12 45
6
Anderlecht Anderlecht
30 12 44
7
Genk Genk ●
30 11 42
8
Standard Liege Standard Liege ●
30 11 40
9
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
30 10 39
10
Antwerp Antwerp
30 9 35
11
Charleroi Charleroi
30 9 34
12
OH Leuven OH Leuven
30 9 34
13
Zulte Waregem Zulte Waregem
30 8 32
14
Cercle Brugge Cercle Brugge
30 7 31
15
RAAL La Louvière RAAL La Louvière
30 6 31
16
Dender Dender
30 3 19
1
Genk Genk ●
40 15 38
2
Standard Liege Standard Liege ●
40 16 37
3
Charleroi Charleroi
40 14 34
4
KVC Westerlo KVC Westerlo
40 14 33
5
Antwerp Antwerp
40 13 31
6
OH Leuven OH Leuven
40 10 23
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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