Football โ€บ
UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League
ยท Quarter-finals
AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

3โ€“1

Full Time

Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

๐ŸŸ Allwyn Arena, Athens
๐ŸŸก E. Eskas
๐Ÿ“‹ Quarter-finals
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Double Chance: Draw or Rayo Vallecano

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.7 Medium Risk

The data converges on a Double Chance pick with strong support from provider advice (Draw 45% and Away 45%) and H2H evidence (100% edge for away in recent head-to-head, with Rayo winning 3-0). Season stats further favor Rayo, with their 80% last-5 form compared to AEK's 60% and superior attacking numbers (2.2 average away goals). Comparison metrics also lean towards the away side with 100% in h2h and goals percentages. However, the balanced provider percentages (10% home, 45% draw, 45% away) introduce some risk, so caution is warranted. Overall, the convergence of evidences justifies an 80% probability for this bet.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Away Win

3-Way Result

A value edge is found with a direct Away Win pick, as both the H2H and goals comparison metrics give a 100% edge to Rayo Vallecano. The H2H match ended 3-0 in their favor and the away sideโ€™s last-5 form is strong at 80% compared to 60% for AEK at home. Additionally, the comparison shows 73% defensive strength for the away team versus 27% for the home side. Despite provider percentages being balanced, the convergence of independent metrics supports an 82% probability for an Away Win, providing a significant value edge.

82%

prob.

1.9

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H advantage: Away 100% vs Home 0%

75%

odds 2

Double Chance

Draw or Rayo Vallecano

Provider percentages: Draw 45% and Away 45%

80%

odds 1.7

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
WLWWL
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
No data

Current Standings

3
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
6 P 4 W 13 Pts
5
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
6 P 4 W 13 Pts

Head to Head

16 Apr 26
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
3โ€“1
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
H
9 Apr 26
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
3โ€“0
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
6 5 16
2
Rakรณw Czฤ™stochowa Rakรณw Czฤ™stochowa
6 4 14
3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC โ—
6 4 13
4
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
6 4 13
5
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano โ—
6 4 13
6
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
6 4 13
7
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
6 4 13
8
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
6 3 12
9
Lausanne Lausanne
6 3 11
10
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
6 3 10
11
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
6 3 10
12
Samsunspor Samsunspor
6 3 10
13
Celje Celje
6 3 10
14
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
6 3 10
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
6 3 9
16
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
6 2 9
17
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
6 2 9
18
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
6 2 8
19
FC Noah FC Noah
6 2 8
20
Drita Drita
6 2 8
21
KuPS KuPS
6 1 7
22
Shkendija Shkendija
6 2 7
23
Zrinjski Zrinjski
6 2 7
24
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
6 2 7
25
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
6 2 7
26
Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC
6 2 7
27
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
6 2 6
28
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
6 2 6
29
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
6 2 6
30
Breidablik Breidablik
6 1 5
31
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
6 1 4
32
BK Hacken BK Hacken
6 0 3
33
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
6 1 3
34
Shelbourne Shelbourne
6 0 2
35
Aberdeen Aberdeen
6 0 2
36
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
6 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
โšฝ ๐Ÿ€ โšพ ๐ŸŽพ ๐Ÿˆ

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