Football โ€บ
UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League
ยท Quarter-finals
Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

3โ€“0

Full Time

AEK Athens FC

AEK Athens FC

๐ŸŸ Campo de Futbol de Vallecas, Madrid
๐ŸŸก B. Bastien
๐Ÿ“‹ Quarter-finals
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Rayo Vallecano or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 Low Risk

Our best bet is the Double Chance option as the provider shows a balanced win (45%) and draw (45%), aggregating to a 90% probability. Comparison metrics such as the home Poisson distribution at 64% and Rayoโ€™s league clean sheets (4 total) reinforce this safe pick. Season data also indicates Rayoโ€™s moderate attacking output (2.1 average goals) against AEKโ€™s solid defense (6 clean sheets). H2H data is neutral which further supports a cautious approach. The evidence converges with minimal conflict, although inherent risks remain as neither team is dominant. Overall, the consistency across provider, season, and comparison metrics gives us high confidence in this selection.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Rayo Vallecano or Draw

3-Way Result

For the best optimal value, the 3-Way Result predicting 'Rayo Vallecano or Draw' stands out with a 90% probability and an inferred value edge above 30%. The providerโ€™s percentages (45% for win and 45% for draw) justify this high probability, complemented by the home Poisson metric of 64%. Season data, including Rayoโ€™s average of 2.1 goals versus AEKโ€™s 1.9, supports the lean towards a home advantage. The convergence of these independent metrics minimizes risk. Although both sides offer similar predictions, the slight value edge in the 3-Way market makes it optimal. Hence, this is our best optimal bet.

90%

prob.

1.2

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Rayo Vallecano Win or Draw

Provider rates 45% win and 45% draw.

90%

odds 1.2

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano or Draw

Combined 90% (45% win + 45% draw) probability.

90%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
No data
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
WLWWL

Current Standings

3
AEK Athens FC
AEK Athens FC
6 P 4 W 13 Pts
5
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
6 P 4 W 13 Pts

Head to Head

16 Apr 26
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
3โ€“1
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
H
9 Apr 26
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
3โ€“0
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
6 5 16
2
Rakรณw Czฤ™stochowa Rakรณw Czฤ™stochowa
6 4 14
3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC โ—
6 4 13
4
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
6 4 13
5
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano โ—
6 4 13
6
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
6 4 13
7
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
6 4 13
8
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
6 3 12
9
Lausanne Lausanne
6 3 11
10
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
6 3 10
11
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
6 3 10
12
Samsunspor Samsunspor
6 3 10
13
Celje Celje
6 3 10
14
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
6 3 10
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
6 3 9
16
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
6 2 9
17
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
6 2 9
18
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
6 2 8
19
FC Noah FC Noah
6 2 8
20
Drita Drita
6 2 8
21
KuPS KuPS
6 1 7
22
Shkendija Shkendija
6 2 7
23
Zrinjski Zrinjski
6 2 7
24
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
6 2 7
25
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
6 2 7
26
Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC
6 2 7
27
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
6 2 6
28
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
6 2 6
29
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
6 2 6
30
Breidablik Breidablik
6 1 5
31
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
6 1 4
32
BK Hacken BK Hacken
6 0 3
33
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
6 1 3
34
Shelbourne Shelbourne
6 0 2
35
Aberdeen Aberdeen
6 0 2
36
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
6 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
โšฝ ๐Ÿ€ โšพ ๐ŸŽพ ๐Ÿˆ

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