Football โ€บ
UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League
ยท Quarter-finals
Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

1โ€“0

Full Time

FC Porto

FC Porto

๐ŸŸ City Ground, Nottingham
๐ŸŸก Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
๐Ÿ“‹ Quarter-finals
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Nottingham Forest or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 Low Risk

The evidence strongly favors a Double Chance on Nottingham Forest or Draw, combining provider percentages of 45% each (totaling 90%) with an H2H edge of 80% and a Poisson home likelihood of 62%. Nottingham Forest's season stats also show 5 clean sheets in 13 fixtures, reinforcing their reliability at home. This outcome integrates comparison metrics (35%) with robust H2H data (30%). Although provider advice and season trends align, caution remains due to FC Porto's recent 73% last-5 form. Overall, convergence across 90% of data underpins this conservative pick.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Nottingham Forest or Draw

Double Chance

The best value edge is also found in the Double Chance market where a 90% probability is supported by a blend of 45% provider win and draw figures, alongside an 80% H2H advantage and a 62% Poisson likelihood for the home side. Nottingham Forestโ€™s strong season clean sheet record (5 out of 13 matches) further reinforces the bet. While FC Portoโ€™s recent 73% form is a caution, all other metrics converge in favor of the home team avoiding a loss. This bet offers a high probability with an estimated value edge surpassing 30%.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Nottingham Forest Win

Provider home win at 45%

45%

odds 2.22

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest or Draw

Combined provider probability of 90%

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
No data
FC Porto
FC Porto
No data

Current Standings

5
FC Porto
FC Porto
8 P 5 W 17 Pts
13
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
8 P 4 W 14 Pts

Head to Head

16 Apr 26
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
1โ€“0
FC Porto FC Porto
H
9 Apr 26
FC Porto FC Porto
1โ€“1
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
D
23 Oct 25
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
2โ€“0
FC Porto FC Porto
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lyon Lyon
8 7 21
2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
8 7 21
3
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
8 6 19
4
Real Betis Real Betis
8 5 17
5
FC Porto FC Porto โ—
8 5 17
6
SC Braga SC Braga
8 5 17
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
8 5 17
8
AS Roma AS Roma
8 5 16
9
Genk Genk
8 5 16
10
Bologna Bologna
8 4 15
11
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
8 5 15
12
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
8 4 15
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest โ—
8 4 14
14
Plzen Plzen
8 3 14
15
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
8 4 14
16
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
8 4 13
17
PAOK PAOK
8 3 12
18
Lille Lille
8 4 12
19
Fenerbahรงe Fenerbahรงe
8 3 12
20
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
8 3 12
21
Celtic Celtic
8 3 11
22
Ludogorets Ludogorets
8 3 10
23
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
8 3 10
24
Brann Brann
8 2 9
25
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
8 3 9
26
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
8 2 7
27
FCSB FCSB
8 2 7
28
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
8 2 7
29
Feyenoord Feyenoord
8 2 6
30
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
8 2 6
31
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
8 2 6
32
Rangers Rangers
8 1 4
33
Nice Nice
8 1 3
34
Utrecht Utrecht
8 0 1
35
Malmo FF Malmo FF
8 0 1
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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