Bologna
Full Time
Aston Villa
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Draw or Aston Villa
Double Chance
90%
confidence
The double chance bet (Draw or Aston Villa) is strongly supported by multiple data points: H2H shows Aston Villa winning both previous matches (100% in H2H and scores of 1-0 and 2-0) and the Poisson distribution favors the away side at 62%. Additionally, Bologna’s home under/over data (75% under 2.5) and provider advice (45% draw and 45% away) further reinforce a solid outcome. Season stats reveal Aston Villa’s 6 clean sheets compared to Bologna’s 4 and their recent form is strong (100% vs 87%). Although the percentages split evenly in provider win/draw/away, convergence of H2H, comparison goals (100% for away) and defensive stats elevates confidence. Caution is warranted in any football match, but the convergence here is compelling.
Best Value
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
The Under 2.5 Goals market offers a strong value edge with high convergence: Bologna’s home record shows 9 unders out of 12 matches (75%) and Aston Villa’s away data reports 9 unders out of 10 (90%). Comparison metrics strongly favor fewer total goals with away goals at 100% in the goals comparison. Additionally, the provider’s indicated goal numbers (-2.5) align with these season metrics. The evidence, including H2H results that were low-scoring (1-0 and 2-0), adds to the rationale, although any goal market always carries risk. The value edge is clearly above 30% given the disparity in over vs under stats.
90%
prob.
1.6
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Aston Villa Win
Aston Villa winning 2/2 H2H matches (100% in H2H)
85%
odds 1.8
Double Chance
Draw or Aston Villa
Provider advised double chance with 45% each for draw and away
90%
odds 1.3
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 | Aston Villa ● | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 |  FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 |  Genk | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Bologna ● | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  PAOK | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 21 |  Celtic | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 22 |  Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 24 |  Brann | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 25 |  BSC Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 27 |  FCSB | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 28 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 29 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 30 |  FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 31 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 32 |  Rangers | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 33 |  Nice | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| 34 |  Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 35 |  Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 |
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