Football
UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League
· Quarter-finals
Bayern München

Bayern München

4–3

Full Time

Real Madrid

Real Madrid

🏟 Allianz Arena, Munich
🟡 S. Vincic
📋 Quarter-finals
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Bayern München or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 Risk

The data converges on Bayern München's strong home advantage with a 56% form and 64% attacking strength compared to Real Madrid's 44% and 36%. The provider advice already suggests a double chance (Bayern or draw) with 45% each, which is further supported by a Poisson probability of 70% for Bayern. H2H results show Bayern winning in key encounters, and season stats reveal Bayern’s high average of 3.2 goals at home with zero failed-to-score. The overall evidence from comparison metrics (59.7% total for home) and historical encounters suggests minimal risk for the double chance market. This marker is therefore chosen as our highest confidence pick. Its probability stands at 80%, reflecting strong but cautious alignment. However, variations in H2H and draw potential keep the risk level at Medium.

Best Value

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

The Goals Over/Under market shows significant value, with Bayern’s home scoring average of 3.2 and Real Madrid’s away average of 1.8 leading to a combined expectation over 2.5 goals. The comparison metrics allocate 56% in goals for home and 44% away, and season data confirms high scoring with Bayern tallying 34 goals in 11 matches. H2H evidence further supports open matches with several games surpassing typical thresholds. With a converging probability of 85%, the value edge is estimated at over 30% given the comprehensive scoring trends and provider indications. The risk remains medium as slight variances in defensive stability could affect totals. This selection is our best opportunity for value in the market.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Bayern München Win

Bayern's 3.2 goals average in last 5 home matches

65%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Bayern München or Draw

Provider percentages of 45% for both win and draw

80%

odds 1.25

+4 more predictions

HT/FT, corners, first scorer & more

Unlock in App →

Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Bayern München
Bayern München
LWWWW
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
DWLDL

Current Standings

2
Bayern München
Bayern München
8 P 7 W 21 Pts
9
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
8 P 5 W 15 Pts

Head to Head

15 Apr 26
Bayern München Bayern München
4–3
Real Madrid Real Madrid
H
7 Apr 26
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1–2
Bayern München Bayern München
A
8 May 24
Real Madrid Real Madrid
2–1
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
H
30 Apr 24
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
2–2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
D
21 Jul 19
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich
3–1
Real Madrid Real Madrid
H

+5 more H2H results in the app

Download Free →

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
8 8 24
2
Bayern München Bayern München
8 7 21
3
Liverpool Liverpool
8 6 18
4
Tottenham Tottenham
8 5 17
5
Barcelona Barcelona
8 5 16
6
Chelsea Chelsea
8 5 16
7
Sporting CP Sporting CP
8 5 16
8
Manchester City Manchester City
8 5 16
9
Real Madrid Real Madrid
8 5 15
10
Inter Inter
8 5 15
11
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
8 4 14
12
Newcastle Newcastle
8 4 14
13
Juventus Juventus
8 3 13
14
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid
8 4 13
15
Atalanta Atalanta
8 4 13
16
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
8 3 12
17
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
8 3 11
18
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus
8 3 11
19
Club Brugge KV Club Brugge KV
8 3 10
20
Galatasaray Galatasaray
8 3 10
21
Monaco Monaco
8 2 10
22
Qarabag Qarabag
8 3 10
23
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
8 2 9
24
Benfica Benfica
8 3 9
25
Marseille Marseille
8 3 9
26
Pafos Pafos
8 2 9
27
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
8 3 9
28
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
8 2 8
29
Athletic Club Athletic Club
8 2 8
30
Napoli Napoli
8 2 8
31
FC Copenhagen FC Copenhagen
8 2 8
32
Ajax Ajax
8 2 6
33
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
8 1 4
34
Slavia Praha Slavia Praha
8 0 3
35
Villarreal Villarreal
8 0 1
36
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

Get the Full Match Experience

Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.

Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.