TSV Hartberg
Full Time
Sturm Graz
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Sturm Graz Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
All evidence converges on a strong Sturm Graz victory. The comparison metrics show a 93% h2h advantage for Sturm Graz and a 73% Poisson rate, while historical H2H records have them winning 5 out of 8 matches. Season stats further support their edge with 45 total goals versus TSV Hartberg's 35. Although TSV Hartberg has a slightly better attack (56%) at home, their weak defense (33%) undermines their chances. This pick carries a solid 90% probability with minimal conflicting signals. Considering multiple independent metrics align, our confidence in a Sturm Graz win is high.
Best Value
Sturm Graz Win
3-Way Result
Our best value pick is also a Sturm Graz win in the 3-Way market. With an implied probability of about 52.6% from odds of 1.90, the 90% likelihood represents an approximate 37% value edge. The comparison data cites Sturm Graz with a 93% h2h and 86% goals advantage. Historical H2H evidence shows 5 wins out of 8 encounters and season stats favor them with a greater scoring record. Despite TSV Hartberg’s slightly higher attacking percentage at home, defensive frailties undermine their prospects. Overall, the convergence of evidence supports this bet with high confidence.
90%
prob.
1.9
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Sturm Graz Win
H2H advantage: 93% for away with 5 wins in 8 matches
90%
odds 1.9
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Double Chance: 93% away in h2h and 67% defensive rating
88%
odds 1.25
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lask Linz | 32 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz ● | 32 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 32 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Austria Vienna | 32 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 |  Rapid Vienna | 32 | 12 | 27 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg ● | 32 | 10 | 25 |
| 1 | Sturm Graz ● | 22 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg | 22 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 37 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 22 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg ● | 22 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 |  WSG Wattens | 22 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 |  SCR Altach | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 9 |  Ried | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 10 |  Wolfsberger AC | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 11 |  Grazer AK | 22 | 4 | 20 |
| 12 |  FC BW Linz | 22 | 4 | 15 |
| 1 | Ried | 32 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolfsberger AC | 32 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | SCR Altach | 32 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Grazer AK | 32 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | WSG Wattens | 32 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | FC BW Linz | 32 | 8 | 21 |
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