Football โ€บ
Bundesliga Bundesliga
ยท Championship Group - 30
Red Bull Salzburg

Red Bull Salzburg

1โ€“1

Full Time

Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

๐ŸŸ Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
๐ŸŸก Harald Lechner, Austria
๐Ÿ“‹ Championship Group - 30
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sturm Graz Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 4.75 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

The Best Bet is a Sturm Graz Win in the 3-Way Result market. Multiple metrics favor this choice: H2H data shows a strong 85% advantage for the away side and the goals comparison indicates 67% backing for Sturm Graz. Season statistics reinforce this with Sturm Graz recording 11 clean sheets compared to Salzburgโ€™s 5, and only 3 failed-to-score instances versus 6 by Salzburg. Poisson distribution also leans towards an away advantage at 61%. Although Salzburgโ€™s form is 56% at home and their attack rate stands at 67%, the convergence of evidence tilts the balance. With these factors, we assign a probability of 85% while noting the medium-high risk due to some conflicting form indicators.

Best Value

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Draw/Away

Double Chance

The Best Optimal bet is a Double Chance on Draw/Away, offering significant value with an estimated probability of 90%. The bookmaker odds of 2.20 imply an implied probability of about 45.5%, which creates a strong value edge exceeding 30%. H2H metrics contribute with an 85% advantage for the away team and season stats note Sturm Grazโ€™s 11 clean sheets compared to Salzburgโ€™s 5. Additionally, the goals comparison (67% for away) and Poisson distribution (61% in favor of away) reinforce its potential. This convergence of evidence underpins a robust safety net if Salzburg fail to secure a win. Despite inherent risks, the strong value edge supports this selection.

90%

prob.

2.2

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Sturm Graz Win

H2H away 85% and goals comparison 67% for away

85%

odds 4.75

Double Chance

Draw/Away

H2H away 85% and season clean sheets 11 for Sturm Graz

90%

odds 2.2

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
WLWWD
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
No data

Current Standings

2
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
32 P 16 W 37 Pts
3
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
32 P 13 W 29 Pts
1
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
22 P 12 W 38 Pts
2
Red Bull Salzburg
Red Bull Salzburg
22 P 10 W 37 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lask Linz Lask Linz
32 17 39
2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz โ—
32 16 37
3
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg โ—
32 13 29
4
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
32 14 29
5
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
32 12 27
6
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
32 10 25
1
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz โ—
22 12 38
2
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg โ—
22 10 37
3
Lask Linz Lask Linz
22 11 37
4
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
22 11 36
5
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
22 9 33
6
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
22 8 33
7
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens
22 8 31
8
SCR Altach SCR Altach
22 7 29
9
Ried Ried
22 8 28
10
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
22 7 26
11
Grazer AK Grazer AK
22 4 20
12
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
22 4 15
1
Ried Ried
32 12 28
2
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
32 11 28
3
SCR Altach SCR Altach
32 10 27
4
Grazer AK Grazer AK
32 9 27
5
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens
32 10 24
6
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
32 8 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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