Red Bull Salzburg
Full Time
Sturm Graz
๐ค AI Predictions
Best Bet
Sturm Graz Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
The Best Bet is a Sturm Graz Win in the 3-Way Result market. Multiple metrics favor this choice: H2H data shows a strong 85% advantage for the away side and the goals comparison indicates 67% backing for Sturm Graz. Season statistics reinforce this with Sturm Graz recording 11 clean sheets compared to Salzburgโs 5, and only 3 failed-to-score instances versus 6 by Salzburg. Poisson distribution also leans towards an away advantage at 61%. Although Salzburgโs form is 56% at home and their attack rate stands at 67%, the convergence of evidence tilts the balance. With these factors, we assign a probability of 85% while noting the medium-high risk due to some conflicting form indicators.
Best Value
Draw/Away
Double Chance
The Best Optimal bet is a Double Chance on Draw/Away, offering significant value with an estimated probability of 90%. The bookmaker odds of 2.20 imply an implied probability of about 45.5%, which creates a strong value edge exceeding 30%. H2H metrics contribute with an 85% advantage for the away team and season stats note Sturm Grazโs 11 clean sheets compared to Salzburgโs 5. Additionally, the goals comparison (67% for away) and Poisson distribution (61% in favor of away) reinforce its potential. This convergence of evidence underpins a robust safety net if Salzburg fail to secure a win. Despite inherent risks, the strong value edge supports this selection.
90%
prob.
2.2
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Sturm Graz Win
H2H away 85% and goals comparison 67% for away
85%
odds 4.75
Double Chance
Draw/Away
H2H away 85% and season clean sheets 11 for Sturm Graz
90%
odds 2.2
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lask Linz | 32 | 17 | 39 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz โ | 32 | 16 | 37 |
| 3 | Red Bull Salzburg โ | 32 | 13 | 29 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 32 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 32 | 12 | 27 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 32 | 10 | 25 |
| 1 | Sturm Graz โ | 22 | 12 | 38 |
| 2 | Red Bull Salzburg โ | 22 | 10 | 37 |
| 3 | Lask Linz | 22 | 11 | 37 |
| 4 | Austria Vienna | 22 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 | Rapid Vienna | 22 | 9 | 33 |
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 22 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | WSG Wattens | 22 | 8 | 31 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 22 | 7 | 29 |
| 9 | Ried | 22 | 8 | 28 |
| 10 | Wolfsberger AC | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 22 | 4 | 20 |
| 12 | FC BW Linz | 22 | 4 | 15 |
| 1 | Ried | 32 | 12 | 28 |
| 2 | Wolfsberger AC | 32 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | SCR Altach | 32 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Grazer AK | 32 | 9 | 27 |
| 5 | WSG Wattens | 32 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | FC BW Linz | 32 | 8 | 21 |
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