Football โ€บ
Bundesliga Bundesliga
ยท Championship Group - 29
Sturm Graz

Sturm Graz

1โ€“1

Full Time

Austria Vienna

Austria Vienna

๐ŸŸ Merkur-Arena, Graz
๐ŸŸก Stefan Ebner, Austria
๐Ÿ“‹ Championship Group - 29
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sturm Graz or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.36 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our analysis favors a cautious approach with Double Chance for Sturm Graz or Draw. Sturm Grazโ€™s strong home form of 64% and impressive defensive rating of 79% provide support, while the risk from H2H is partly mitigated. Season data shows Sturm Graz have recorded 11 clean sheets, adding confidence. Although H2H metrics lean 80% toward Austria Vienna, the overall comparison and season stats tip the balance. This selection offers protection against an unexpected away win. With these converging factors, we assign an 80% probability. The risk level is Medium.

Best Value

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Sturm Graz Win

3-Way Result

For best optimal value, we select the 3-Way Result โ€“ Sturm Graz Win, which appears underpriced given the evidence. Sturm Grazโ€™s home form at 64% and defensive strength at 79% strongly support their win, while season statistics such as 11 clean sheets further back this view. Despite H2H favoring the away side at 80%, the majority of independent metrics lean towards a home advantage. The bookmaker odds of 2.15 imply only a 46.5% chance, revealing a value edge. We assign an 80% probability to this outcome, translating to a value edge rating of 5. Though risks remain, the convergence of metrics gives solid value.

80%

prob.

2.15

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Sturm Graz Win

Home form at 64% vs Away form at 36%

70%

odds 2.15

Double Chance

Sturm Graz or Draw

11 clean sheets and 79% defensive rating

80%

odds 1.36

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
No data
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna
No data

Current Standings

2
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
32 P 16 W 37 Pts
4
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna
32 P 14 W 29 Pts
1
Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz
22 P 12 W 38 Pts
4
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna
22 P 11 W 36 Pts

Head to Head

26 Apr 26
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
1โ€“1
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
D
15 Mar 26
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
2โ€“5
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
A
14 Dec 25
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
3โ€“1
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
H
14 Sept 25
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
0โ€“1
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
A
27 Apr 25
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
0โ€“1
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lask Linz Lask Linz
32 17 39
2
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz โ—
32 16 37
3
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
32 13 29
4
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna โ—
32 14 29
5
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
32 12 27
6
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
32 10 25
1
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz โ—
22 12 38
2
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
22 10 37
3
Lask Linz Lask Linz
22 11 37
4
Austria Vienna Austria Vienna โ—
22 11 36
5
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
22 9 33
6
TSV Hartberg TSV Hartberg
22 8 33
7
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens
22 8 31
8
SCR Altach SCR Altach
22 7 29
9
Ried Ried
22 8 28
10
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
22 7 26
11
Grazer AK Grazer AK
22 4 20
12
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
22 4 15
1
Ried Ried
32 12 28
2
Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC
32 11 28
3
SCR Altach SCR Altach
32 10 27
4
Grazer AK Grazer AK
32 9 27
5
WSG Wattens WSG Wattens
32 10 24
6
FC BW Linz FC BW Linz
32 8 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
โšฝ ๐Ÿ€ โšพ ๐ŸŽพ ๐Ÿˆ

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