Sonderjyske
Full Time
FC Nordsjaelland
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Draw/Away
Double Chance
85%
confidence
Our analysis shows that combining the strong H2H favoring FC Nordsjaelland (80% in past meetings) with season data (away goals percentage at 65%) makes the double chance option very compelling. The protective nature of including a draw, plus Sonderjyske's mixed defensive figures (29% at home), supports this pick. Despite some conflicting signals like the Poisson distribution (67% for home), the overall alignment gives us high confidence. We assign an 85% probability due to convergence of evidence and lower risk.
Best Value
FC Nordsjaelland Win
3-Way Result
Multiple metrics support an away win as FC Nordsjaelland have an 80% advantage in H2H and a 65% favorable goals metric. Despite the Poisson distribution favoring the home side at 67%, the stronger defensive percentage (71% for away) and overall season attack comparisons bolster the away win argument. With a conservative probability of 80%, the bookmaker odds of 2.15 far exceed the fair odds, providing a significant value edge. The evidence converges well enough to justify a value rating of 5 despite moderate risk.
80%
prob.
2.15
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
FC Nordsjaelland Win
H2H shows 80% in favor of away and goals metric is 65% for FC Nordsjaelland.
75%
odds 2.15
Double Chance
Draw/Away
H2H at 80% and season goals split of 35%/65%.
85%
odds 1.36
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aarhus | 32 | 19 | 67 |
| 2 |  FC Midtjylland | 32 | 16 | 60 |
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland ● | 32 | 15 | 50 |
| 4 |  Brondby | 32 | 13 | 45 |
| 5 |  Viborg | 32 | 13 | 44 |
| 6 | Sonderjyske ● | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 1 | Aarhus | 22 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | FC Midtjylland | 22 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Sonderjyske ● | 22 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Brondby | 22 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Viborg | 22 | 10 | 33 |
| 6 | FC Nordsjaelland ● | 22 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 |  FC Copenhagen | 22 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 |  Odense | 22 | 7 | 27 |
| 9 |  Randers FC | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 10 |  FC Fredericia | 22 | 7 | 24 |
| 11 |  Silkeborg | 22 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 |  Vejle | 22 | 3 | 14 |
| 1 | FC Copenhagen | 32 | 15 | 51 |
| 2 | Odense | 32 | 11 | 41 |
| 3 | Silkeborg | 32 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 | Randers FC | 32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | FC Fredericia | 32 | 9 | 34 |
| 6 | Vejle | 32 | 5 | 24 |
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