Football
Superliga Superliga
· Championship Group - 32
Sonderjyske

Sonderjyske

1–4

Full Time

FC Nordsjaelland

FC Nordsjaelland

🏟 Haderslev Football Stadium, Haderslev
🟡 M. Krogh
📋 Championship Group - 32
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw/Away

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.36 bookmaker Low Risk

Our analysis shows that combining the strong H2H favoring FC Nordsjaelland (80% in past meetings) with season data (away goals percentage at 65%) makes the double chance option very compelling. The protective nature of including a draw, plus Sonderjyske's mixed defensive figures (29% at home), supports this pick. Despite some conflicting signals like the Poisson distribution (67% for home), the overall alignment gives us high confidence. We assign an 85% probability due to convergence of evidence and lower risk.

Best Value

FC Nordsjaelland Win

3-Way Result

Multiple metrics support an away win as FC Nordsjaelland have an 80% advantage in H2H and a 65% favorable goals metric. Despite the Poisson distribution favoring the home side at 67%, the stronger defensive percentage (71% for away) and overall season attack comparisons bolster the away win argument. With a conservative probability of 80%, the bookmaker odds of 2.15 far exceed the fair odds, providing a significant value edge. The evidence converges well enough to justify a value rating of 5 despite moderate risk.

80%

prob.

2.15

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

FC Nordsjaelland Win

H2H shows 80% in favor of away and goals metric is 65% for FC Nordsjaelland.

75%

odds 2.15

Double Chance

Draw/Away

H2H at 80% and season goals split of 35%/65%.

85%

odds 1.36

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sonderjyske
Sonderjyske
WLWLL
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
LDDWD

Head to Head

17 May 26
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske
1–4
FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland
A
22 Mar 26
FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland
2–0
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske
H
8 Feb 26
FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland
2–1
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske
H
3 Aug 25
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske
3–2
FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland
H
23 Feb 25
FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland
3–2
Sonderjyske Sonderjyske
H

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