Football
UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League
· Round of 16
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

2–1

Full Time

Raków Częstochowa

Raków Częstochowa

🏟 Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
🟡 G. Kabakov
📋 Round of 16
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Double Chance: Draw or Raków Cz1stochowa

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 Low Risk

Our analysis favors a safe double chance bet on Draw or Raków Cz1stochowa, supported by provider advice with draw at 45% and away at 45% which together yield a 90% probability. The comparison metrics also back this as the away side shows 65% form and an overall 68.3% superiority. Additionally, Raków's solid season defensive record with 7 clean sheets reinforces the safety of this option. Although the provider win/draw percentages are moderate, the convergence of data from season stats and comparison metrics increases confidence. We acknowledge that H2H data is not available but the clear edge in away defensive and form statistics lowers risk. Overall, our evidence suggests this is a low-risk, ultra-conservative pick.

Best Value

Rakf3w Cz1stochowa Win

3-Way Result

For the best value option, the 3-Way Result pick on a Rakf3w Cz1stochowa win stands out with a convergence of strong data points. While the provider gives an away percentage of 45%, the comparison metrics show away form at 65% and a Poisson probability of 80% in favor of Rakf3w. Additionally, the overall matchup metric gives Rakf3w a 68.3% edge. This combination, along with their superior defensive record (78% def rating) and a history of high clean sheets, indicates notable value. The odds reflect an approximate fair value given the suggested probability. Despite the absence of H2H, the multiple independent metrics converge on this outcome.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Rak0f3w Cz1stochowa Win

Rak0f3w overall superiority at 68.3% from comparison metrics

70%

odds 1.43

Double Chance

Double Chance: Draw or Rak0f3w Cz1stochowa

Provider double chance percentages: 45% draw + 45% away

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
No data
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
WWDWD

Current Standings

2
Raków Częstochowa
Raków Częstochowa
6 P 4 W 14 Pts
15
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
6 P 3 W 9 Pts

Head to Head

19 Mar 26
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
1–2
Fiorentina Fiorentina
A
12 Mar 26
Fiorentina Fiorentina
2–1
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Strasbourg Strasbourg
6 5 16
2
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
6 4 14
3
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
6 4 13
4
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
6 4 13
5
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
6 4 13
6
Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk
6 4 13
7
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
6 4 13
8
AEK Larnaca AEK Larnaca
6 3 12
9
Lausanne Lausanne
6 3 11
10
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
6 3 10
11
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
6 3 10
12
Samsunspor Samsunspor
6 3 10
13
Celje Celje
6 3 10
14
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
6 3 10
15
Fiorentina Fiorentina
6 3 9
16
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
6 2 9
17
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
6 2 9
18
Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia
6 2 8
19
FC Noah FC Noah
6 2 8
20
Drita Drita
6 2 8
21
KuPS KuPS
6 1 7
22
Shkendija Shkendija
6 2 7
23
Zrinjski Zrinjski
6 2 7
24
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
6 2 7
25
Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova
6 2 7
26
Lincoln Red Imps FC Lincoln Red Imps FC
6 2 7
27
Dynamo Kyiv Dynamo Kyiv
6 2 6
28
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
6 2 6
29
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
6 2 6
30
Breidablik Breidablik
6 1 5
31
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
6 1 4
32
BK Hacken BK Hacken
6 0 3
33
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
6 1 3
34
Shelbourne Shelbourne
6 0 2
35
Aberdeen Aberdeen
6 0 2
36
Rapid Vienna Rapid Vienna
6 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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