Football โ€บ
UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League
ยท Round of 16
SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

5โ€“1

Full Time

Genk

Genk

๐ŸŸ Europa-Park-Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
๐ŸŸก Michael Oliver, England
๐Ÿ“‹ Round of 16
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw/Genk

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.35 Low Risk

The data shows a strong composite signal favoring Genk, with provider percentages of 45% each for draw and away win, making Double Chance (Draw/Genk) a very safe bet. Comparison metrics indicate a 65% form edge for Genk and a 100% h2h win advantage. Additionally, Genkโ€™s last 5 form at 87% and dominant attacking (100% att) reinforce this call. Historical evidence from the only H2H match (1-0 win) supports Genkโ€™s supremacy. Season stats and overall team performance add further backing, though slight risks exist due to mixed provider estimates. Overall, multiple independent metrics align to drive a high confidence of 90%.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Under 3.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

The Goals Over/Under market shows compelling value, with an expected total of around 2.9 goals combined (1.1 for SC Freiburg and 1.8 for Genk) comfortably under the 3.5 threshold. SC Freiburgโ€™s under 3.5 record (0 over and 9 under) and Genkโ€™s similar underlying trends create a convergence of evidence. The Poisson distribution also favors home at 66%, which in this context implies fewer goals than the market line. Given these aligned season stats, tactical setups, and H2H tendencies, this market offers a significant value edge. Although inherent scoring volatility exists, the data converges strongly, yielding a probability of 85%.

85%

prob.

1.5

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Genk Win

Genk last 5 form at 87% and 100% h2h advantage

80%

odds 1.8

Double Chance

Draw/Genk

Provider draw and away percentages at 45% each summing to 90%

90%

odds 1.35

+4 more predictions

HT/FT, corners, first scorer & more

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
No data
Genk
Genk
DDWDW

Current Standings

7
SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg
8 P 5 W 17 Pts
9
Genk
Genk
8 P 5 W 16 Pts

Head to Head

19 Mar 26
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
5โ€“1
Genk Genk
H
12 Mar 26
Genk Genk
1โ€“0
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lyon Lyon
8 7 21
2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
8 7 21
3
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
8 6 19
4
Real Betis Real Betis
8 5 17
5
FC Porto FC Porto
8 5 17
6
SC Braga SC Braga
8 5 17
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg โ—
8 5 17
8
AS Roma AS Roma
8 5 16
9
Genk Genk โ—
8 5 16
10
Bologna Bologna
8 4 15
11
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
8 5 15
12
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
8 4 15
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
8 4 14
14
Plzen Plzen
8 3 14
15
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
8 4 14
16
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
8 4 13
17
PAOK PAOK
8 3 12
18
Lille Lille
8 4 12
19
Fenerbahรงe Fenerbahรงe
8 3 12
20
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
8 3 12
21
Celtic Celtic
8 3 11
22
Ludogorets Ludogorets
8 3 10
23
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
8 3 10
24
Brann Brann
8 2 9
25
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
8 3 9
26
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
8 2 7
27
FCSB FCSB
8 2 7
28
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
8 2 7
29
Feyenoord Feyenoord
8 2 6
30
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
8 2 6
31
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
8 2 6
32
Rangers Rangers
8 1 4
33
Nice Nice
8 1 3
34
Utrecht Utrecht
8 0 1
35
Malmo FF Malmo FF
8 0 1
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
โšฝ ๐Ÿ€ โšพ ๐ŸŽพ ๐Ÿˆ

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