Football โ€บ
UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League
ยท Round of 16
AS Roma

AS Roma

3โ€“4

Full Time

Bologna

Bologna

๐ŸŸ Stadio Olimpico, Rome
๐ŸŸก Istvan Kovacs, Romania
๐Ÿ“‹ Round of 16
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Double Chance: Draw or Bologna

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.3 Medium-High Risk

Our best bet is the double chance (Draw or Bologna) based on solid convergence: provider percentages show Draw 45% and Bologna 45%, and H2H evidence indicates a 62% advantage for Bologna. Poisson distribution heavily favors Bologna at 72%, while Roma's last 5 stats reveal a high attacking rate of 90% but do not overcome the overall defensive trends. Season stats support low-scoring games, and historical H2H outcomes show draws and Bologna wins dominating about 80% of match results. This multiple-metric alignment gives us a conservative 80% probability. However, there is some risk from the mixed indicators in form and attack percentages. Overall, the data supports a moderately safe call for a double chance.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

The best value is in the Under 2.5 goals market. AS Roma record under 2.5 goals in 8 out of 9 home fixtures (approximately 89%) and Bologna show a similar pattern with 9 out of 11 away games (around 82%). Comparison metrics and season stats both lean towards low-scoring matches, with defensive data consistently appearing in both teamsโ€™ profiles. H2H encounters also frequently result in limited goal tallies. This convergence of multiple independent data points supports a strong probability of 82% for under 2.5 goals. Risk is low due to the consistent seasonal and historical evidence.

82%

prob.

1.3

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Bologna Win

72% Poisson favoring Bologna

65%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Draw or Bologna

Provider: Draw 45% and Away 45%

80%

odds 1.3

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

AS Roma
AS Roma
DWLWL
Bologna
Bologna
LLWLW

Current Standings

8
AS Roma
AS Roma
8 P 5 W 16 Pts
10
Bologna
Bologna
8 P 4 W 15 Pts

Head to Head

25 Apr 26
Bologna Bologna
0โ€“2
AS Roma AS Roma
A
19 Mar 26
AS Roma AS Roma
3โ€“4
Bologna Bologna
A
12 Mar 26
Bologna Bologna
1โ€“1
AS Roma AS Roma
D
23 Aug 25
AS Roma AS Roma
1โ€“0
Bologna Bologna
H
12 Jan 25
Bologna Bologna
2โ€“2
AS Roma AS Roma
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Lyon Lyon
8 7 21
2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
8 7 21
3
FC Midtjylland FC Midtjylland
8 6 19
4
Real Betis Real Betis
8 5 17
5
FC Porto FC Porto
8 5 17
6
SC Braga SC Braga
8 5 17
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
8 5 17
8
AS Roma AS Roma โ—
8 5 16
9
Genk Genk
8 5 16
10
Bologna Bologna โ—
8 4 15
11
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
8 5 15
12
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
8 4 15
13
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
8 4 14
14
Plzen Plzen
8 3 14
15
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
8 4 14
16
Celta Vigo Celta Vigo
8 4 13
17
PAOK PAOK
8 3 12
18
Lille Lille
8 4 12
19
Fenerbahรงe Fenerbahรงe
8 3 12
20
Panathinaikos Panathinaikos
8 3 12
21
Celtic Celtic
8 3 11
22
Ludogorets Ludogorets
8 3 10
23
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
8 3 10
24
Brann Brann
8 2 9
25
BSC Young Boys BSC Young Boys
8 3 9
26
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
8 2 7
27
FCSB FCSB
8 2 7
28
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
8 2 7
29
Feyenoord Feyenoord
8 2 6
30
FC Basel 1893 FC Basel 1893
8 2 6
31
Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg
8 2 6
32
Rangers Rangers
8 1 4
33
Nice Nice
8 1 3
34
Utrecht Utrecht
8 0 1
35
Malmo FF Malmo FF
8 0 1
36
Maccabi Tel Aviv Maccabi Tel Aviv
8 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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