Genk
Full Time
SC Freiburg
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Draw or SC Freiburg
Double Chance
85%
confidence
Our best bet is to take the Double Chance bet on Draw or SC Freiburg based on multiple converging data points. The provider advice explicitly recommends "Double chance: draw or SC Freiburg" with 45% each for draw and away, while the Poisson distribution favors SC Freiburg at 62%. Additionally, SC Freiburg’s last-5 defensive performance is at 83%, reinforcing their ability to avoid defeat. Genk’s lower defensive metric (50% in last 5) adds to the logic. Season stats also point to SC Freiburg’s superior clean sheet record with 4 total clean sheets. This convergence of provider advice, advanced metrics and season performance supports an 85% confidence level. Note that while the evidence is strong, betting outcomes always carry risk.
Best Value
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
The best optimal value pick is the Under 2.5 Goals market. Genk’s league under ratio stands at 8 under vs 4 over in home matches (approximately 67% under) and SC Freiburg’s away under ratio is 7 under vs 1 over (nearly 88% under), offering a clear edge. These specific thresholds from both teams suggest a strong likelihood of a low scoring encounter. Season data, including average goals (1.9 for Genk and 1.3 for SC Freiburg), further supports this outcome. With evidence converging from league under/over stats and season goal averages, the estimated probability is 82%. This outcome not only aligns with multiple benchmarks but also provides a value edge of around 30%.
82%
prob.
1.9
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
SC Freiburg Win
Away win at 45% vs Poisson 62%
55%
odds 2.5
Double Chance
Draw or SC Freiburg
Draw 45% and Away 45%
80%
odds 1.3
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 8 | 7 | 21 |
| 3 |  FC Midtjylland | 8 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 |  FC Porto | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 6 |  SC Braga | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg ● | 8 | 5 | 17 |
| 8 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Genk ● | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 |  Bologna | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 5 | 15 |
| 12 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 8 | 4 | 15 |
| 13 |  Nottingham Forest | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 14 |  Plzen | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 15 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 4 | 13 |
| 17 |  PAOK | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 18 |  Lille | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 19 |  Fenerbahçe | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 20 |  Panathinaikos | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 21 |  Celtic | 8 | 3 | 11 |
| 22 |  Ludogorets | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 23 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 24 |  Brann | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 25 |  BSC Young Boys | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 26 |  Sturm Graz | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 27 |  FCSB | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 28 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 29 |  Feyenoord | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 30 |  FC Basel 1893 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 31 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 32 |  Rangers | 8 | 1 | 4 |
| 33 |  Nice | 8 | 1 | 3 |
| 34 |  Utrecht | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 35 |  Malmo FF | 8 | 0 | 1 |
| 36 |  Maccabi Tel Aviv | 8 | 0 | 1 |
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