Ituano
Full Time
Botafogo PB
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Ituano or Draw
Double Chance
92%
confidence
The Double Chance pick 'Ituano or Draw' is supported by a dominant 100% home form and an overall 68.4% team performance advantage. The comparison metrics (form 100% for home and 64% att) reinforce its safety. Additionally, season data shows Ituano did not fail to score at home while Botafogo PB’s away form is weak. H2H evidence, with two wins from three meetings, further backs this choice. The convergence of these independent metrics minimizes risk and ensures high confidence. Therefore, this pick is the safest option in a tight fixture.
Best Value
Ituano Win
3-Way Result
The Best Optimal pick is the 3-Way Result 'Ituano Win' which shows a strong value edge. Comparison metrics indicate a 90% Poisson distribution in favor of the home side with a 67% H2H advantage. Season statistics further support this as Ituano boasts impressive home scoring (2.3 average) and a robust defense. The implied probability from the bookmaker odds (50% at 2.00) contrasts with an estimated 85% probability, yielding a value edge of approximately 35%. Although one H2H match ended in a loss (0-3), the convergence of metrics supports this option. It therefore qualifies as a value bet with high confidence.
85%
prob.
2
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Ituano Win
Home form at 100% and Poisson 90%
85%
odds 2
Double Chance
Ituano or Draw
Home overall 68.4% vs away 31.6%
92%
odds 1.33
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Ituano Botafogo PB Ituano Botafogo PB Ituano Botafogo PB Botafogo PB Ituano League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Caxias | 19 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 |  Ponte Preta | 19 | 11 | 36 |
| 3 |  Nautico Recife | 19 | 10 | 36 |
| 4 |  Londrina | 19 | 8 | 30 |
| 5 |  São Bernardo | 19 | 8 | 30 |
| 6 |  Brusque | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 7 |  Guarani Campinas | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 8 |  Floresta | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 9 |  Confiança | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 10 |  Ypiranga-RS | 19 | 7 | 25 |
| 11 |  Maringá | 19 | 5 | 25 |
| 12 | Ituano ● | 19 | 6 | 24 |
| 13 | Botafogo PB ● | 19 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 |  Figueirense | 19 | 5 | 23 |
| 15 |  Anápolis | 19 | 5 | 23 |
| 16 |  AO Itabaiana | 19 | 6 | 22 |
| 17 |  CSA | 19 | 5 | 22 |
| 18 |  ABC | 19 | 2 | 18 |
| 19 |  Retrô | 19 | 3 | 14 |
| 20 |  Tombense | 19 | 2 | 14 |
| 1 | Londrina | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | São Bernardo | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Floresta | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Caxias | 6 | 0 | 4 |
| 1 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 4 | 13 |
| 2 | Nautico Recife | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Guarani Campinas | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Brusque | 6 | 2 | 6 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Ituano
2.00
Draw
3.10
Botafogo PB
3.70
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
2.30
Under 2.5
1.60
Both Teams Score
Yes
2.00
No
1.73
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