Football
Liga Pro Serie B Liga Pro Serie B
· Regular Season - 18
El Nacional

El Nacional

vs

Not Started

Gualaceo SC

Gualaceo SC

📋 Regular Season - 18
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Gualaceo SC Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.15 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

The majority of the metrics favor an away win: El Nacional’s last 5 form is only 7% while Gualaceo SC shows 47%, and overall league percentages stand at 36.5% for home versus 63.7% for away. The Poisson distribution gives away 72% and attacking ratings are 40% vs 60%, reinforcing the advantage despite a 60% h2h leaning to the home side. This convergence of 4 out of 5 key provider metrics leads us to lean towards an away victory. H2H evidence is mixed but overall season stats and form strongly back Gualaceo SC. Considering this, we confidently pick a Gualaceo SC win.

Best Value

Gualaceo SC Win

3-Way Result

Using value analysis, the 3-Way market option for a Gualaceo SC win offers a value edge with our estimated probability of 80% against an implied 46.5% from odds of 2.15, yielding an edge over 33%. This option is supported by strong away performance where form is 88% and overall league metrics favor away at 63.7%. In addition, attacking strengths of 60% for Gualaceo SC compared to home’s 40% further justify this choice. Although h2h suggests a minor home advantage at 60%, the convergence of most independent metrics signals value here.

80%

prob.

2.15

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Gualaceo SC Win

Away form at 88% vs home form at 13%

80%

odds 2.15

Double Chance

Draw/Away

League totals favor away at 63.7%

85%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

El Nacional
El Nacional
LLLLD
Gualaceo SC
Gualaceo SC
WWLDD

Current Standings

10
Gualaceo SC
Gualaceo SC
17 P 6 W 18 Pts
12
El Nacional
El Nacional
17 P 0 W 1 Pts

Head to Head

2 May 26
Gualaceo SC Gualaceo SC
2–0
El Nacional El Nacional
H
12 Nov 23
El Nacional El Nacional
4–2
Gualaceo SC Gualaceo SC
H
4 Jun 23
Gualaceo SC Gualaceo SC
3–4
El Nacional El Nacional
A
7 Oct 21
El Nacional El Nacional
4–2
Gualaceo SC Gualaceo SC
H
11 Aug 21
Gualaceo SC Gualaceo SC
1–0
El Nacional El Nacional
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Ind. Juniors Ind. Juniors
18 8 31
2
9 de Octubre 9 de Octubre
17 8 31
3
Atletico FC Atletico FC
17 7 30
4
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
17 8 29
5
Cuniburo Cuniburo
18 7 26
6
Cumbayá Cumbayá
18 5 23
7
San Antonio San Antonio
18 4 21
8
Santo Domingo Santo Domingo
17 5 19
9
LDU Portoviejo LDU Portoviejo
17 5 19
10
Gualaceo SC Gualaceo SC
17 6 18
11
22 de Julio 22 de Julio
17 4 9
12
El Nacional El Nacional
17 0 1
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

El Nacional

2.75

Draw

3.30

Gualaceo SC

2.20

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.00

Under 2.5

1.80

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