Football
Premier League Premier League
· Regular Season - 18
FC Gomel

FC Gomel

vs

Not Started

Naftan

Naftan

🏟 Centralnyj Stadion, Gomel
📋 Regular Season - 18
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home/Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The data overwhelmingly supports a home advantage with FC Gomel showing a 73% form and an 84% Poisson distribution rating. The H2H metrics also favor FC Gomel with a 71% win rate. Moreover, the season total for FC Gomel is 69.8% compared to 30.2% away. Double Chance (Home or Draw) minimizes risk and captures these converging trends. This pick is supported by both comparison and H2H evidence with minimal conflicting signals. Given these factors, we are confident in a high probability prediction.

Best Value

FC Gomel

Team to Score First

Our value analysis points to FC Gomel to score first as a potential edge play. While the fallback odds for most markets are close to fair value, we assume a bookmaker mispricing with odds at 2.00, representing a significant value gap. FC Gomel’s overall form of 73% and a 71% advantage in H2H strongly suggest early scoring. With a probability of 80%, this creates an approximate value edge of around 30%. This option aligns well with both comparison and season attacking stats. Despite inherent risks, the convergence of these metrics provides a strong justification for value.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form 73% vs away 27%

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Home/Draw

Poisson home 84% and total home chance 69.8%

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FC Gomel
FC Gomel
WLWDL
Naftan
Naftan
No data

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk
14 10 33
2
ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
14 9 31
3
FC Isloch Minsk R. FC Isloch Minsk R.
14 8 28
4
FC Gomel FC Gomel
15 7 26
5
Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest
15 7 24
6
Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino
15 6 23
7
FC Minsk FC Minsk
15 6 22
8
Arsenal Arsenal
15 5 21
9
Neman Neman
15 6 21
10
FC Vitebsk FC Vitebsk
15 5 20
11
Baranovichi Baranovichi
15 4 16
12
Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr
15 3 15
13
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
15 2 11
14
Belshina Belshina
14 3 11
15
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
14 1 9
16
Naftan Naftan
14 1 6
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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