FC Gomel
Not Started
Naftan
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home/Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
The data overwhelmingly supports a home advantage with FC Gomel showing a 73% form and an 84% Poisson distribution rating. The H2H metrics also favor FC Gomel with a 71% win rate. Moreover, the season total for FC Gomel is 69.8% compared to 30.2% away. Double Chance (Home or Draw) minimizes risk and captures these converging trends. This pick is supported by both comparison and H2H evidence with minimal conflicting signals. Given these factors, we are confident in a high probability prediction.
Best Value
FC Gomel
Team to Score First
Our value analysis points to FC Gomel to score first as a potential edge play. While the fallback odds for most markets are close to fair value, we assume a bookmaker mispricing with odds at 2.00, representing a significant value gap. FC Gomel’s overall form of 73% and a 71% advantage in H2H strongly suggest early scoring. With a probability of 80%, this creates an approximate value edge of around 30%. This option aligns well with both comparison and season attacking stats. Despite inherent risks, the convergence of these metrics provides a strong justification for value.
80%
prob.
0
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Home form 73% vs away 27%
85%
odds 1.18
Double Chance
Home/Draw
Poisson home 84% and total home chance 69.8%
90%
odds 1.11
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Minsk | 14 | 10 | 33 |
| 2 | ML Vitebsk | 14 | 9 | 31 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 14 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | FC Gomel ● | 15 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Dinamo Brest | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 6 | Torpedo Zhodino | 15 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | FC Minsk | 15 | 6 | 22 |
| 8 | Arsenal | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Neman | 15 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | FC Vitebsk | 15 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 | Baranovichi | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 | Slavia Mozyr | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 13 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 15 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Belshina | 14 | 3 | 11 |
| 15 | Bate Borisov | 14 | 1 | 9 |
| 16 | Naftan ● | 14 | 1 | 6 |
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