The 3-Way Result pick for Home Win is supported by multiple metrics: the Poisson distribution gives an 84% home chance and home form stands at 64%, while season stats show Dinamo Brest secured 3 clean sheets at home. Despite a conflicting h2h rate of 38% for home wins, overall season performance and total 57.3% home advantage favor this outcome. Historical H2H results are mixed but the overall metrics support the home side. With these converging factors, we assign an 80% probability while noting a Medium risk due to some contradictory h2h evidence.