Football
Premier League Premier League
· Regular Season - 16
FC Dnepr Mogilev

FC Dnepr Mogilev

vs

Not Started

Naftan

Naftan

🏟 Stadion Spartak, Mogilev
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

Our best bet is Under 2.5 Goals with strong season statistics: both FC Dnepr Mogilev and Naftan have shown low scoring with under_over 2.5 results recorded as 14 instances overall. The season averages of 0.8 for FC Dnepr and 0.7 for Naftan reinforce this low-scoring trend, while the comparison metrics and H2H results also hint at limited goals. This outcome carries minimal risk given the consistency in under 2.5 thresholds. The evidence converges with a 90% perceived likelihood based on season stats. We note that falling back to odds calculation gives us a value of 1.111111111111111, but caution remains despite the high probability.

Best Value

Away or Draw

Double Chance

The best value option is the Double Chance market for Away or Draw, boasting an 85% probability. This selection is supported by competitive comparison metrics where h2h for away stands at 85% and away attack is 63% compared to home’s 38%. Additionally, season form indicates Naftan's last-5 attacking percentage at 42% versus FC Dnepr's 25%, further justifying this pick. Despite a risk note that away teams have inconsistent form in recent fixtures, the convergence of multiple metrics lends additional confidence. Using fallback odds, the calculated odds are 1.176470588235294, reflecting a positive edge even if below the ideal 30% threshold.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away percentage at 85% vs home at 15%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Last-5 attack: 42% for Naftan vs 25% for FC Dnepr

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FC Dnepr Mogilev
FC Dnepr Mogilev
No data
Naftan
Naftan
No data

Head to Head

22 Mar 26
Naftan Naftan
0–0
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
D
25 Feb 26
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
1–2
Naftan Naftan
A
6 Oct 24
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–3
Naftan Naftan
A
18 May 24
Naftan Naftan
2–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
H
19 Jan 24
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
0–0
Naftan Naftan
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Dinamo Minsk Dinamo Minsk
14 10 33
2
ML Vitebsk ML Vitebsk
14 9 31
3
FC Isloch Minsk R. FC Isloch Minsk R.
14 8 28
4
FC Gomel FC Gomel
15 7 26
5
Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest
15 7 24
6
Torpedo Zhodino Torpedo Zhodino
15 6 23
7
FC Minsk FC Minsk
15 6 22
8
Arsenal Arsenal
15 5 21
9
Neman Neman
15 6 21
10
FC Vitebsk FC Vitebsk
15 5 20
11
Baranovichi Baranovichi
15 4 16
12
Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr
15 3 15
13
FC Dnepr Mogilev FC Dnepr Mogilev
15 2 11
14
Belshina Belshina
14 3 11
15
Bate Borisov Bate Borisov
14 1 9
16
Naftan Naftan
14 1 6
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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