We favor Belshina for a Home Win given the strong evidence from multiple metrics: the Poisson distribution at 71% and H2H at 71% both support a home advantage, despite a lower home form at 41%. Recent head-to-head results show Belshina winning 6 out of 10 encounters while the goals metric of 76% further reinforces this view. Season records highlight Belshina’s relatively better home scoring efficiency compared to Baranovichi’s away struggles. The evidence largely converges despite minor conflict in overall form. This prediction is conservative with an estimated 80% probability.