The data strongly favors an away win with multiple metrics aligning: the H2H shows a 93% advantage for the away team and the Poisson distribution gives 72% to the away side. Additionally, the overall form is better for the away team (60% vs 40%) reinforcing the trend. Historical head-to-head results further back this pattern with predominant away wins. Although the home team has a slightly better attacking rating (57% vs 43%), their defense is weak (38% vs 63%). This convergence makes the away win prediction robust, yet note the inherent risks in football outcomes.