Chengdu Better City
Not Started
Beijing Guoan
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
Chengdu Better City have strong backing from multiple metrics with a 76% Poisson home advantage and 62% favorable H2H record. Their seasonal performance is reinforced by winning 7 out of 8 home matches, making a home win the most compelling outcome. This 3-Way Result pick, 'Home Win', reflects the convergence of Poisson and H2H evidence despite mixed league form percentages. Although Beijing Guoan show decent away form at 59%, the statistical weighting leans in favor of the home side. This pick is supported by clear numerical advantages and history, yet some risk remains given recent fluctuations. Overall, the evidence is robust enough to justify an 80% probability.
Best Value
Over 2.5
Goals Over/Under
The Goals Over/Under market shows excellent value with converging evidence; for instance, Chengdu’s home average of 2.6 goals and Beijing’s away average of 1.5 goals combine to suggest a high scoring encounter. With a league impression of 21 goals in 8 home games for Chengdu and 12 in 8 for Beijing, over 2.5 goals appears highly probable. This market carries an 85% estimated probability, indicating strong scoring potential. The data convergence from seasonal attack metrics and overall scoring tendencies implies a significant value edge. Risks remain if defensive adjustments occur, but the cumulative edge is compelling. Thus, we consider 'Over 2.5 Goals' as our best value optimal bet with a strong value edge.
85%
prob.
0
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Poisson home advantage at 76% & H2H at 62%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Home or Draw
7 wins out of 8 home matches
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City ● | 19 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 19 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 19 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan ● | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 |  Shenyang Urban | 18 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 19 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Henan Jianye | 18 | 7 | 18 |
| 13 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 18 | 5 | 16 |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 19 | 6 | 14 |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 18 | 5 | 11 |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 11 |
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