Beijing Guoan
Full Time
Shenyang Urban
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
The 3-Way Result pick for an Away Win is supported by multiple metrics: the H2H record shows 100% favoring the away team and the goals comparison indicates a 67% advantage to Shenyang Urban. Season stats further highlight Beijing Guoan's lower attacking output (53% form vs 67% for Shenyang Urban) and less effective defense. The recent H2H match ended 2-1 in favor of Shenyang Urban, reinforcing the trend. However, note that the Poisson metric slightly favors the home side (57%), which adds a minor conflict. Overall, the convergence of H2H and goals statistics makes this option compelling. We assign it an 85% probability, hence the odds are calculated as 100/85 ≈ 1.18.
Best Value
Away or Draw
Double Chance
The Double Chance option for Away or Draw is chosen for its strong value edge, with evidence coming from the comparison metrics showing away form at 56% versus home at 44% and a full 100% H2H advantage for the away team. Season statistics also indicate Beijing Guoan's defensive frailties, contrasting with Shenyang Urban’s attacking potency (93% att in last 5). This convergence of data increases confidence in covering both an away win and a draw. Despite the Poisson metric favoring the home side slightly, the overall evidence tilts the balance. The estimated value edge is around 30%, justifying a 90% probability assessment. Therefore, we select this as the best value play with odds of approximately 1.11.
90%
prob.
1.11
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
H2H shows 100% favoring away win
85%
odds 1.18
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Away form at 56% vs home at 44%
90%
odds 1.11
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Chengdu Better City | 19 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 19 | 7 | 29 |
| 3 |  Dalian Zhixing | 18 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 |  Yunnan Yukun | 19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 19 | 5 | 25 |
| 6 |  Shandong Luneng | 19 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Beijing Guoan ● | 18 | 7 | 22 |
| 8 |  Hangzhou Greentown | 19 | 7 | 21 |
| 9 | Shenyang Urban ● | 18 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Sichuan Jiuniu | 19 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 |  Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 8 | 19 |
| 12 |  Henan Jianye | 18 | 7 | 18 |
| 13 |  SHANGHAI SIPG | 18 | 5 | 16 |
| 14 |  Qingdao Jonoon | 19 | 6 | 14 |
| 15 |  Tianjin Teda | 18 | 5 | 11 |
| 16 |  Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 3 | 11 |
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