The evidence supports an Away Win with key metrics favoring the visitors: h2h shows a 71% advantage and goals comparison gives 67% in favor of the away team. Although Poisson favors home at 67%, the attacking metric (60% for away) and past match outcomes (1 win in 3 H2H with a 4-1 result) reinforce the away edge. Dalian Zhixing’s strong seasonal home record (5 wins in 7) further supports this pick. Some risk remains given conflicting metrics, but the convergence of evidence gives a moderate confidence of 80%.