Football โ€บ
Virsliga Virsliga
ยท Regular Season - 15
FS Jelgava

FS Jelgava

vs

Not Started

FK Liepaja

FK Liepaja

๐ŸŸ Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 15
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

FK Liepaja Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.85 bookmaker Low Risk

The analysis strongly favors FK Liepaja with a 85% advantage in head-to-head comparison and a 59% Poisson distribution for away goals, indicating dominant performance. Historical H2H shows 6 wins for FK Liepaja out of 10 matches, reinforcing this stance. Additionally, FK Liepajaโ€™s recent form of 40% compared to FS Jelgavaโ€™s 33% further supports the away win pick. Season stats reveal FK Liepajaโ€™s higher attacking output with 1.4 goals per game on the road versus FS Jelgavaโ€™s 0.8 at home. This prediction aligns with multiple independent metrics with minimal conflict. Given the convergence of evidence, the confidence in an away win is very high.

Best Value

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Draw/Away

Double Chance

The double chance market offers excellent value as it covers both a draw and an away win, with FK Liepaja strongly favored in head-to-head (85% vs 15%). The convergence of comparative metrics, including a 70% higher attacking performance and season stats, supports a high probability for a non-home win. Historical data shows FK Liepaja securing wins or draws in 10 out of 10 previous H2H encounters. This option mitigates risk by covering the draw scenario while capitalizing on the strong away trend. Given a probability estimated at 92%, the edge is particularly compelling. Therefore, this double chance option represents the best balance of value and confidence with a value rating of 5.

92%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

FK Liepaja Win

H2H advantage: FK Liepaja 85% vs FS Jelgava 15%

90%

odds 1.85

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Away h2h percentage at 85%

92%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
WLLDL
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
DWDDL

Current Standings

5
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
14 P 5 W 18 Pts
9
FS Jelgava
FS Jelgava
14 P 3 W 13 Pts

Head to Head

12 Apr 26
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
1โ€“1
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
D
27 Feb 26
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
2โ€“1
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
H
25 Oct 25
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
2โ€“2
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
D
2 Aug 25
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
1โ€“2
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
A
30 May 25
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava
0โ€“1
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Riga Riga
36 27 88
2
Rฤซgas FS Rฤซgas FS
36 28 87
3
FK Liepaja FK Liepaja โ—
36 18 61
4
BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils
36 13 48
5
Auda Auda
36 13 45
6
FS Jelgava FS Jelgava โ—
36 8 38
7
Tukums Tukums
36 9 36
8
Super Nova Super Nova
36 6 32
9
Grobiล†a Grobiล†a
36 8 32
10
Metta / LU Metta / LU
36 8 31
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

FS Jelgava

3.50

Draw

3.20

FK Liepaja

1.90

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Under 2.5

1.95

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.73

No

2.00

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