Football
Premier League Premier League
· Championship Group - 31
Penybont

Penybont

0–2

Full Time

Barry Town

Barry Town

🏟 Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
🟡 J. A. Jones
📋 Championship Group - 31
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw or Barry Town

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 Low Risk

Our best bet is the Double Chance on Draw or Barry Town, supported by strong away form and provider odds. Barry Town’s form stands at 91% compared to Penybont’s 9% and the provider percentages show 45% for a draw and 45% for an away win, summing to 90%. H2H results are evenly split, but recent season stats favor Barry Town with a higher winning rate. Penybont’s low last‐5 form of 7% contrasts with Barry Town’s 67%. This alignment across multiple metrics gives us confidence despite mixed H2H outcomes. We assign a probability of 85%, with low risk due to converging evidence.

Best Value

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under

The best optimal value lies in the Goals Over/Under market, where we predict Under 2.5 Goals. Both teams’ season under/over thresholds indicate a heavy bias towards Under, with home under 2.5 at 25 occurrences and similar figures for the away side. Additionally, Penybont’s average goals for of 1.3 and Barry Town’s 1.4 combine to roughly 2.7, yet recent last-5 matches show lower combined scoring (0.6 and 1.2 respectively), favoring a low-scoring match. This creates a value edge given potential mispricing in the market. Considering these factors, we assign an 82% probability with a clear 30%+ edge.

82%

prob.

1.22

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Barry Town Win

Away team form at 91% vs home form at 9%

70%

odds 1.54

Double Chance

Draw or Barry Town

Provider percentages: 45% draw and 45% away

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Penybont
Penybont
WLLDL
Barry Town
Barry Town
LLWDW

Current Standings

3
Barry Town
Barry Town
32 P 12 W 46 Pts
6
Penybont
Penybont
32 P 11 W 41 Pts
3
Penybont
Penybont
22 P 11 W 38 Pts
5
Barry Town
Barry Town
22 P 7 W 30 Pts

Head to Head

3 Apr 26
Penybont Penybont
0–2
Barry Town Barry Town
A
3 Mar 26
Barry Town Barry Town
1–0
Penybont Penybont
H
9 Dec 25
Penybont Penybont
1–1
Barry Town Barry Town
D
22 Aug 25
Barry Town Barry Town
2–3
Penybont Penybont
A
26 Dec 24
Barry Town Barry Town
1–2
Penybont Penybont
A

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