Colwyn Bay
Full Time
Caernarfon Town
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Colwyn Bay or Draw
Double Chance
75%
confidence
The double chance pick 'Colwyn Bay or Draw' is supported by home form at 67% in the last 5 games and a strong defensive edge with a 71% defensive metric, while the provider splits win and draw at 35% each. Season data also shows Colwyn Bay’s 9 total clean sheets, indicating solidity at home. Although H2H favors Caernarfon Town with a 60% edge, the overall form (77% home form in comparison) and provider advice converge towards the double chance. This mix of evidence gives us a conservative 75% probability despite some conflict. The odds here reflect the balanced risk across multiple metrics. The risk level is Medium due to the divergence between H2H and league form.
Best Value
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
The 'Under 2.5 Goals' option stands out as a value play with strong season evidence; Colwyn Bay recorded under 2.5 in 24 out of 30 home fixtures while Caernarfon Town showed a similar pattern. This statistical trend combines to suggest an 80% probability for a low-scoring affair. Comparison metrics and season under/over figures both converge on lower scoring games. Despite potential fluctuations in match tempo, the convergence of evidence provides a clear edge estimated at over 30%. This option carries modest risk with a fair pricing reflective of the underlying probability. Overall, the evidence is sufficiently robust to mark this as our best optimal pick.
80%
prob.
1.9
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Colwyn Bay Win
Colwyn Bay last-5 form at 67% and 77% league form.
70%
odds 2.4
Double Chance
Colwyn Bay or Draw
Provider market shows 35% win and 35% draw percentages.
75%
odds 1.8
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 32 | 26 | 78 |
| 2 |  Penybont | 32 | 19 | 64 |
| 3 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 32 | 13 | 51 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town ● | 32 | 14 | 48 |
| 5 |  Cardiff MET | 32 | 12 | 44 |
| 6 |  Bala Town | 32 | 8 | 37 |
| 1 |  Barry Town | 32 | 15 | 52 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 32 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 |  Flint Town United | 32 | 13 | 42 |
| 4 |  Briton Ferry | 32 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 |  Newtown AFC | 32 | 6 | 26 |
| 6 |  Aberystwyth Town | 32 | 6 | 21 |
| 1 | The New Saints | 22 | 17 | 51 |
| 2 | Penybont | 22 | 15 | 50 |
| 3 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 22 | 11 | 40 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town ● | 22 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 22 | 7 | 32 |
| 6 | Cardiff MET | 22 | 9 | 32 |
| 7 | Barry Town | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 8 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 9 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 | Flint Town United | 22 | 6 | 20 |
| 11 | Newtown AFC | 22 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 | Aberystwyth Town | 22 | 4 | 14 |
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