Penybont
Full Time
Colwyn Bay
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away Win
3-Way Result
75%
confidence
Our analysis favors an Away Win by Colwyn Bay due to a significant disparity in form metrics; the comparison shows away form at 90% contrasted with home form at only 10%, and last-5 data reveals Colwyn Bay’s form at 60% compared to Penybont’s 7%. Despite h2h showing a 60% edge for home in previous meetings, recent attacking stats (73% att for away) and season scoring averages support a strong away performance. The evidence converges on the away side, albeit with some h2h conflict. Overall, we assign a 75% probability. The risk remains moderate given the h2h discrepancy. Therefore, the best bet is an Away Win.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
For the best value play, the Goals Over/Under market with Under 2.5 goals presents a compelling edge, backed by season thresholds where Penybont have 24 under outcomes and Colwyn Bay 23 under outcomes. Comparison data also suggests a low scoring contest with home goals averaged at 1.1 and away at 1.0, reinforcing an Under outcome. The convergence of season stats and recent performance indicators yield an estimated 82% probability. Despite some potential scoring from Colwyn Bay, the overall defensive records secure the prediction. The evidence converges, and we see a significant value edge.
82%
prob.
1.22
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
Away form 90% vs Home last-5 form 7%
75%
odds 1.33
Double Chance
Away/Draw
Total comparison 57.5% away vs 42.5% home
78%
odds 1.28
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  The New Saints | 32 | 26 | 80 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 32 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 |  Barry Town | 32 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 |  Caernarfon Town | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay ● | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Penybont ● | 32 | 11 | 41 |
| 1 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 32 | 14 | 48 |
| 2 |  Briton Ferry | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 |  Cardiff MET | 32 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 |  Flint Town United | 32 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 32 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 |  llanelli AFC | 32 | 3 | 13 |
| 1 | The New Saints | 22 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Penybont ● | 22 | 11 | 38 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town | 22 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 22 | 7 | 30 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay ● | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 22 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 25 |
| 9 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 | Bala Town | 22 | 6 | 23 |
| 11 | Flint Town United | 22 | 5 | 21 |
| 12 | llanelli AFC | 22 | 2 | 8 |
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