Caernarfon Town
Full Time
The New Saints
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
The data overwhelmingly favor The New Saints with comparison metrics showing 80% form, 73% Poisson, and 100% H2H in their favor. Recent head-to-head records and season stats (TNS scoring an average of 2.6 goals per game versus Caernarfon Town’s 1.8) further support an Away Win. In addition, TNS’s last-5 form of 80% contrasts sharply with Caernarfon Town’s 20%, reinforcing the prediction. Despite minor conflicts in over/under trends, the convergence of metrics justifies a confident call. This pick carries a probability of 90% and is our highest confidence option. There is inherent risk if any unexpected defensive error occurs, but the evidence is strong.
Best Value
The New Saints
Team to Score First
Analyzing value edges, the Team to Score First market stands out with strong attacking indicators from The New Saints. Their last-5 attack of 80% and season superiority (74 goals scored overall) converge with H2H evidence favoring their performance. Despite bookmakers setting fair odds given the high probability, our analysis identifies extra value here. With an 80% estimated probability and an assumed value edge of 35%, this market presents a solid value play. Risks remain, but the consistency of scoring metrics supports the selection.
80%
prob.
1.25
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
H2H away 100% and last-5 form 80% for TNS
90%
odds 1.11
Double Chance
Away Win or Draw
Double Chance safety reflected by 95% estimated success
95%
odds 1.05
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The New Saints ● | 32 | 26 | 80 |
| 2 |  GAP Connah S Quay FC | 32 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 |  Barry Town | 32 | 12 | 46 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town ● | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 5 |  Colwyn Bay | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 |  Penybont | 32 | 11 | 41 |
| 1 |  Haverfordwest County AFC | 32 | 14 | 48 |
| 2 |  Briton Ferry | 32 | 12 | 45 |
| 3 |  Cardiff MET | 32 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 |  Flint Town United | 32 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 |  Bala Town | 32 | 8 | 32 |
| 6 |  llanelli AFC | 32 | 3 | 13 |
| 1 | The New Saints ● | 22 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | GAP Connah S Quay FC | 22 | 14 | 47 |
| 3 | Penybont | 22 | 11 | 38 |
| 4 | Caernarfon Town ● | 22 | 9 | 34 |
| 5 | Barry Town | 22 | 7 | 30 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Cardiff MET | 22 | 6 | 28 |
| 8 | Briton Ferry | 22 | 6 | 25 |
| 9 | Haverfordwest County AFC | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 10 | Bala Town | 22 | 6 | 23 |
| 11 | Flint Town United | 22 | 5 | 21 |
| 12 | llanelli AFC | 22 | 2 | 8 |
Get the Full Match Experience
Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.
Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.