Football โ€บ
J1 League J1 League
ยท Regular Season - 18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

4โ€“2

Full Time

Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus

๐ŸŸ Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima
๐ŸŸก Yuzo Sutani, Japan
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 18
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw/Away

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 2.05 bookmaker Low Risk

The evidence converges on a strong away advantage for Nagoya Grampus, with the comparison h2h metric at 80% in their favor and last-5 form at 60% compared to Sanfrecceโ€™s 40%. This makes the double chance option covering Draw/Away extremely safe, especially given Sanfrecceโ€™s inconsistent form and defensive stats. The bookmaker odds for Double Chance: Draw/Away are 2.05, which further supports the pick. Although Sanfrecce have a 67% defensive stat last-5, the overall data points overwhelmingly back the away outcome. The risk remains low as the option covers both Draw and Away outcomes, ensuring broad coverage. Overall, multiple independent metrics align at high confidence, resulting in a 90% probability pick.

Best Value

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Nagoya Grampus Win

3-Way Result

Among all markets, the 3-Way Result standing on a Nagoya Grampus win offers a significant value edge. The head-to-head metric strongly favors the away side at 80% while Nagoyaโ€™s overall season goal total of 31 compared to Sanfrecceโ€™s 27 bolsters this view, even though their last-5 form is 60% versus 40%. The bookmaker odds at 4.33 for a Nagoya win are highly valued given our estimated 82% probability, representing an impressive edge. Despite inherent uncertainties in football outcomes, the convergence of comparison metrics and season stats provides robust backing. The evidence and alignment of multiple factors indicate a high value edge, warranting a value rating of 5.

82%

prob.

4.33

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Nagoya Grampus Win

H2H metric 80% in favor of Nagoya

82%

odds 4.33

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Double chance covers 80% h2h away bias

90%

odds 2.05

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
LWWWL
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
No data

Current Standings

3
Nagoya Grampus
Nagoya Grampus
18 P 10 W 31 Pts
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 P 10 W 30 Pts

Head to Head

23 May 26
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
4โ€“2
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
H
18 Mar 26
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
2โ€“1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
H
27 Aug 25
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
2โ€“4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
A
28 Jun 25
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1โ€“2
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
A
20 Apr 25
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
2โ€“1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
38 23 76
2
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
38 21 75
3
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
38 19 68
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima โ—
38 20 68
5
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
38 18 64
6
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
38 17 60
7
Urawa Urawa
38 16 59
8
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
38 15 57
9
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
38 17 57
10
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
38 14 52
11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
38 13 50
12
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
38 12 48
13
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
38 12 45
14
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
38 11 44
15
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
38 12 43
16
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus โ—
38 11 43
17
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
38 11 43
18
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
38 9 35
19
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
38 8 32
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
38 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

1.73

Draw

3.90

Nagoya Grampus

4.33

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.67

Under 2.5

2.15

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.67

No

2.10

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