Football โ€บ
J1 League J1 League
ยท Regular Season - 12
Machida Zelvia

Machida Zelvia

0โ€“0

Full Time

Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy

๐ŸŸ Machida Stadium, Tokyo
๐ŸŸก Hayato Shimizu, Japan
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 12
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Machida Zelvia or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our analysis highlights a strong home advantage for Machida Zelvia with comparison metrics showing a 57% form and 64% attack for home teams, while Tokyo Verdy lags with 43% form and 36% attack. The recent H2H split of 60% favoring home and historical season stats emphasizing frequent scoring further support a safe outcome. Double Chance offers a cushion, limiting risk, and the season data reflects robust home performances with a good balance in defense. Multiple metrics align, and the evidence converges with 90% confidence, although slight H2H draws necessitate conservative probability calibration. We note that the risk remains Medium owing to competitive H2H encounters. In summary, our bet on a home double chance provides the most consistent outcome.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Machida Zelvia Win

3-Way Result

Our best optimal pick is taking the straight home win for Machida Zelvia, supported by a 57% home form and 64% attack advantage over Tokyo Verdyโ€™s 36% attack. The comparison metrics (including 69% goals favoring home) and a favorable 60% H2H statistic reinforce this outcome. The seasonal offensive record of 1.8 average goals and clear attacking momentum underline the value of this pick. With an implied edge of around 31% when comparing our 85% estimated probability to the bookmakerโ€™s odds, the option presents strong value despite inherent risks in tightly contested fixtures. Evidence from multiple independent metrics converges, justifying an 85% probability estimate for this prediction. Overall, the data-driven value edge makes this option our best optimal pick.

85%

prob.

1.85

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Machida Zelvia Win

Machida Zelvia home attack 64% vs Tokyo Verdy away attack 36%

85%

odds 1.85

Double Chance

Machida Zelvia or Draw

Home form 57% vs Away form 43%

90%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
No data
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
No data

Current Standings

3
Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
18 P 13 W 37 Pts
5
Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
18 P 10 W 28 Pts

Head to Head

13 May 26
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
0โ€“0
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
H
21 Feb 26
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
2โ€“2
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
H
20 Jul 25
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
0โ€“1
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
A
26 Feb 25
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
0โ€“1
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
A
14 Jul 24
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy
0โ€“1
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Kashima Kashima
38 23 76
2
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
38 21 75
3
Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga
38 19 68
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
38 20 68
5
Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe
38 18 64
6
Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia โ—
38 17 60
7
Urawa Urawa
38 16 59
8
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
38 15 57
9
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka
38 17 57
10
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
38 14 52
11
FC Tokyo FC Tokyo
38 13 50
12
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
38 12 48
13
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
38 12 45
14
Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse
38 11 44
15
Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos
38 12 43
16
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
38 11 43
17
Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy โ—
38 11 43
18
Yokohama FC Yokohama FC
38 9 35
19
Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare
38 8 32
20
Albirex Niigata Albirex Niigata
38 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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