Sandefjord
Full Time
Start
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home/Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
Our best bet is the Double Chance Home/Draw, which benefits from Sandefjord's favorable H2H record at 62% and a solid defensive comparison metric of 60% compared to Start's 40%. Recent H2H matches also show a majority of draws and home wins, supporting this selection. Additionally, Sandefjord’s season clean sheet record (5 total) underscores their defensive capability. Although Start has a slightly higher form in the last 5 (40% vs. 27%) and better attack (75% vs. 25%), the evidence of historical results reduces risk. The convergence of multiple independent metrics gives us an 80% confidence level. We remain conservative given the conflicting attack metrics. The risk is Medium due to some discrepancies in form.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
Our optimal pick is the Goals Over/Under market, favoring Under 2.5 goals. The season scoring average for Sandefjord (0.8) and Start (1.1) results in a combined average below the 2.5 threshold, with recent H2H games often ending in low scoring draws. The comparison metrics also lean home with 54% Poisson and 54% goals, reinforcing a conservative scoring expectation. With an 85% probability and a clear value edge, indicator metrics suggest an attractive value. Despite Start’s higher attacking percentage (75%), defensive records and historical under/over thresholds suggest limited scoring. The convergence of season and H2H data provides solid evidence. The value rating is high due to a projected edge of at least 30%.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Sandefjord 62% in H2H compared to Start’s 38%
70%
odds 1.43
Double Chance
Home/Draw
60% defense for Sandefjord versus 40% for Start
80%
odds 1.25
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 21 | 16 | 50 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 21 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 21 | 11 | 38 |
| 4 |  Molde | 21 | 11 | 36 |
| 5 |  Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 33 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 21 | 10 | 32 |
| 7 |  Brann | 21 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 21 | 8 | 28 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 21 | 6 | 25 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 25 |
| 11 | Sandefjord ● | 21 | 6 | 23 |
| 12 |  Valerenga | 21 | 6 | 23 |
| 13 |  Ham-Kam | 21 | 6 | 23 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 21 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 21 | 5 | 19 |
| 16 | Start ● | 21 | 4 | 16 |
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