Our best bet is the Goals Over/Under market with an Under 2.5 prediction, backed by solid season under stats. Lillestrom recorded Under 2.5 in 11 of 15 league fixtures while Fredrikstad hit 13 under results, indicating low scoring games. The Poisson distribution also supports low scoring with home chances of 78% aligning with under trends. Season averages are modest with Lillestrom scoring 1.5 goals and Fredrikstad only 1.1 on average. Despite some conflicting H2H signals, the cumulative evidence from under_over thresholds and season stats consolidates this pick. We assign an 80% probability with conservative odds of 1.25, mindful of residual risk.