Football
Eliteserien Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 15
Rosenborg

Rosenborg

vs

Not Started

Fredrikstad

Fredrikstad

🏟 Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim
📋 Regular Season - 15
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

The evidence strongly supports a low-scoring affair with under 2.5 total goals. Rosenborg have recorded under 2.5 goals in 11 matches and Fredrikstad have achieved under 2.5 in 9 games, which aligns with the season thresholds. H2H and Poisson metrics further lean towards a controlled scoring match, with Rosenborg's home Poisson at 59% and h2h at 62%. Although comparison metrics split, the cumulative data points and defensive records justify this pick. The probability is set conservatively at 85% to account for occasional attacking spurts. This outcome remains our best bet despite moderate risks.

Best Value

Fredrikstad

Team to Score First

A deeper look at team statistics highlights a value edge in predicting that Fredrikstad will score first. Fredrikstad’s season average of 1.4 goals compared to Rosenborg’s 0.8, along with a low failed-to-score tally of 2 instances, indicates a strong likelihood of opening the scoring. While H2H and Poisson metrics favor the home side in some respects, Fredrikstad’s higher attacking form (64% per comparison metrics and 47% in recent form) converges into this value call. This prediction carries a probability of 80% with a robust value edge rating. Risk factors remain due to mixed 3-way and h2h signals, but the evidence clearly supports this optimal option.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Form: 64% for Fredrikstad vs 36% for Rosenborg

75%

odds 1.33

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Last-5 form: 47% for Fredrikstad vs 27% for Rosenborg

78%

odds 1.28

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Rosenborg
Rosenborg
DLLWL
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
WDWLL

Current Standings

10
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
13 P 4 W 15 Pts
12
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
13 P 4 W 14 Pts

Head to Head

28 May 25
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
0–2
Rosenborg Rosenborg
A
5 Apr 25
Rosenborg Rosenborg
1–0
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
H
27 Jul 24
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
2–2
Rosenborg Rosenborg
D
2 Jun 24
Rosenborg Rosenborg
1–1
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
D
1 May 24
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
1–0
Rosenborg Rosenborg
H

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Viking Viking
13 11 33
2
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
14 10 32
3
Tromso Tromso
15 9 31
4
Lillestrom Lillestrom
14 8 25
5
Molde Molde
13 6 20
6
Brann Brann
14 6 19
7
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
13 5 18
8
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
13 5 18
9
Valerenga Valerenga
13 5 17
10
Rosenborg Rosenborg
13 4 15
11
Sandefjord Sandefjord
13 4 15
12
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
13 4 14
13
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
13 3 12
14
Aalesund Aalesund
13 2 12
15
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
13 3 12
16
Start Start
14 1 7
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Rosenborg

1.73

Draw

3.75

Fredrikstad

4.50

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.75

Under 2.5

2.05

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.75

No

2.00

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