Football
Eliteserien Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 13
Tromso

Tromso

4–0

Full Time

Valerenga

Valerenga

🏟 Romssa Arena, Tromso
🟡 Svein Tore Sinnes, Norway
📋 Regular Season - 13
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Low Risk

The data points converge on a strong double chance option. Tromso’s season record shows 11 wins/draws in 13 matches (around 84.6%), and comparison metrics favor caution with a 74% Poisson home percentage. H2H data further supports a tendency to avoid a loss, with a 60% away edge for Valerenga offset by home resilience. This overall evidence gives us confidence approaching 85% for a double chance outcome. Note that while some metrics are borderline, the convergence of season stats and league fixture numbers supports this bet. We remain ultra‐conservative to account for conflicts in attacking metrics.

Best Value

Home Win or Draw

Double Chance

The double chance market offers strong value with converging metrics providing a high probability and an attractive edge. With Tromso’s favorable season record (11 out of 13 with wins/draws) and supporting comparison metrics such as a 74% Poisson home chance, the evidence gives us around an 85% probability. This aligns well with a value edge that exceeds 30%, making it an optimal pick. The historical H2H matches further consolidate this evidence, though slight conflicts in attacking figures suggest some caution. Overall, the convergence of evidence and the value edge justify selecting this market.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Poisson home 74% & home goals avg 1.8

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home Win or Draw

11 wins/draws out of 13 (≈84.6%)

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Tromso
Tromso
DLWDL
Valerenga
Valerenga
WLWLD

Current Standings

3
Tromso
Tromso
15 P 9 W 31 Pts
9
Valerenga
Valerenga
13 P 5 W 17 Pts

Head to Head

11 Jul 26
Tromso Tromso
4–0
Valerenga Valerenga
H
4 Oct 25
Valerenga Valerenga
1–0
Tromso Tromso
H
31 May 25
Tromso Tromso
2–1
Valerenga Valerenga
H
15 Mar 25
Valerenga Valerenga
1–4
Tromso Tromso
A
1 May 24
Valerenga Valerenga
1–0
Tromso Tromso
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Viking Viking
13 11 33
2
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
14 10 32
3
Tromso Tromso
15 9 31
4
Lillestrom Lillestrom
14 8 25
5
Molde Molde
13 6 20
6
Brann Brann
14 6 19
7
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
13 5 18
8
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
13 5 18
9
Valerenga Valerenga
13 5 17
10
Rosenborg Rosenborg
13 4 15
11
Sandefjord Sandefjord
13 4 15
12
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
13 4 14
13
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
13 3 12
14
Aalesund Aalesund
13 2 12
15
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
13 3 12
16
Start Start
14 1 7
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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