Football โ€บ
Eliteserien Eliteserien
ยท Regular Season - 10
Sarpsborg 08 FF

Sarpsborg 08 FF

2โ€“1

Full Time

Molde

Molde

๐ŸŸ Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg
๐ŸŸก Ola Hobber Nilsen, Norway
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 10
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Molde Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 2.5 bookmaker Medium Risk

The data strongly favors Molde with a 77% away form and a 67% last-5 form compared to Sarpsborgโ€™s 23% and 20%, respectively. Season fixtures show Molde winning 5 out of 9 matches while Sarpsborg only clinched 2 wins, and the H2H results tilt heavily with 6 wins for Molde in 10 encounters. The comparison metrics also support an away advantage (att 67% vs 33% and def 71% vs 29%). This convergence of evidence across form, season and head-to-head suggests a high likelihood of an away victory. Although there is some risk given the occasional competitive first halves, the balance of probabilities supports a Molde win. Therefore, our highest confidence pick is a Molde win in the full match.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Molde Win

Second Half Winner

For optimal value, we consider the second half outcome where Moldeโ€™s strength remains consistent. The H2H evidence shows Molde often overturning deficits in the later stages, and comparison metrics show an away advantage with 67% in recent form. With bookmakers offering odds of 2.62 for a Molde second half win and our assigned probability of 80%, the implied edge is significant. This bet carries a value edge well over 30%, as the implied probability from the odds is only about 38%. Season and last-5 stats further support Moldeโ€™s ability to perform robustly in the second half. Despite inherent match risks, the convergence of independent indicators makes this a strong value proposition.

80%

prob.

2.62

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Molde Win

Moldeโ€™s last 5 form is 67% versus Sarpsborgโ€™s 20%

80%

odds 2.5

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Molde's season win rate is significantly higher (5 wins) than Sarpsborgโ€™s (2 wins)

85%

odds 1.5

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sarpsborg 08 FF
Sarpsborg 08 FF
LDLDD
Molde
Molde
DWLLW

Head to Head

25 May 26
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
2โ€“1
Molde Molde
H
30 Nov 25
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
1โ€“0
Molde Molde
H
30 Mar 25
Molde Molde
0โ€“2
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
A
10 Nov 24
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
2โ€“2
Molde Molde
D
20 May 24
Molde Molde
2โ€“4
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Viking Viking
30 22 71
2
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
30 22 70
3
Tromso Tromso
30 18 57
4
Brann Brann
30 17 56
5
Sandefjord Sandefjord
30 15 48
6
Valerenga Valerenga
30 13 43
7
Rosenborg Rosenborg
30 11 42
8
Fredrikstad Fredrikstad
30 11 42
9
Sarpsborg 08 FF Sarpsborg 08 FF โ—
30 11 41
10
Molde Molde โ—
30 12 39
11
Ham-Kam Ham-Kam
30 10 37
12
KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo
30 8 35
13
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
30 9 34
14
Bryne Bryne
30 8 31
15
Stromsgodset Stromsgodset
30 6 20
16
Haugesund Haugesund
30 2 9
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Sarpsborg 08 FF

2.60

Draw

3.60

Molde

2.50

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.53

Under 2.5

2.40

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.44

No

2.62

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