Sandefjord
Full Time
Fredrikstad
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Sandefjord or Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
Our safest pick is Double Chance 'Sandefjord or Draw', as it mitigates the risk from conflicting H2H trends. Sandefjord's home form stands at 70% while they have secured 3 clean sheets at home this season. Their last-5 defensive rate of 71% adds extra confidence despite mixed h2h data favoring the away side. This bet offers broad coverage given the home team's consistency at Jotun Arena. The convergence of season defensive stats and home league form underpins our choice. Although the evidence isn’t irrefutable across all metrics, the balance of 35% comparison and 25% season stats gives us comfort.
Best Value
Sandefjord Win
3-Way Result
Our value option is the 3-Way Result bet on a 'Sandefjord Win'. Despite conflicting h2h statistics (home 15% vs away 85%), the strong indicators from comparison metrics such as a 70% home form, 71% poisson distribution and a superior defensive rate of 63% support this outcome. Season stats further show Sandefjord’s ability to secure clean sheets with 3 home clean sheets. By assigning a probability of 85%, we capture value against the bookmaker’s odds of 1.90, which imply only a 52.6% chance. This yields an approximate value edge above 30%. While inherent risks remain, the convergence of multiple independent metrics justifies this pick.
85%
prob.
1.9
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Sandefjord Win
Home form 70% and poisson 71% presage a win
85%
odds 1.9
Double Chance
Sandefjord or Draw
3 home clean sheets reinforce defensive strength
80%
odds 1.22
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 30 | 22 | 71 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 22 | 70 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 30 | 18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Brann | 30 | 17 | 56 |
| 5 | Sandefjord ● | 30 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 30 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 |  Rosenborg | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad ● | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 30 | 11 | 41 |
| 10 |  Molde | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 30 | 10 | 37 |
| 12 |  KFUM Oslo | 30 | 8 | 35 |
| 13 |  Kristiansund BK | 30 | 9 | 34 |
| 14 |  Bryne | 30 | 8 | 31 |
| 15 |  Stromsgodset | 30 | 6 | 20 |
| 16 |  Haugesund | 30 | 2 | 9 |
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