Rosenborg
Full Time
Lillestrom
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Lillestrom Win
3-Way Result
82%
confidence
Our analysis strongly favors Lillestrom with multiple metrics aligning, including a 92% Poisson probability favoring the away side and a 67% last‐5 form advantage. H2H results show mixed outcomes but recent season stats, with Lillestrom’s attacking percentage at 82% compared to Rosenborg’s 27%, further support an away win. The comparison metrics clearly favor Lillestrom’s attacking and defensive stats. Although H2H split 50/50, the overall weight of 35% from comparison, 25% from season stats and improved away performance adds to our confidence. This pick still carries some risk due to mixed head‐to‐head outcomes. Given these figures, we estimate an 82% probability for a Lillestrom win.
Best Value
Lillestrom
Home/Away
For optimal value, the Home/Away market offers a strong case with Lillestrom having both a superior attacking edge and better last-5 form at 82% vs 27% for opponents. The odds of 1.73 for an away win provide a value edge of approximately 42% when considering an 82% probability. This outcome is supported by comparison metrics where Lillestrom leads in overall form (66.3% overall league probability) and season performance. Although H2H is even, the convergence of recent form and statistical dominance makes this option attractive. Minor risks exist from mixed head-to-head history but are outweighed by the overall statistical momentum. We rate this prediction with a high value_rating of 5.
82%
prob.
1.73
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Lillestrom Win
Poisson 92% for away and last5 form 67%
82%
odds 2.4
Double Chance
Draw/Away
League overall away probability 66.3% and last5 form 67%
90%
odds 1.4
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 30 | 22 | 71 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 30 | 22 | 70 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 30 | 18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Brann | 30 | 17 | 56 |
| 5 |  Sandefjord | 30 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 |  Valerenga | 30 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Rosenborg ● | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 30 | 11 | 42 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 30 | 11 | 41 |
| 10 |  Molde | 30 | 12 | 39 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 30 | 10 | 37 |
| 12 |  KFUM Oslo | 30 | 8 | 35 |
| 13 |  Kristiansund BK | 30 | 9 | 34 |
| 14 |  Bryne | 30 | 8 | 31 |
| 15 |  Stromsgodset | 30 | 6 | 20 |
| 16 |  Haugesund | 30 | 2 | 9 |
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