Football
Allsvenskan Allsvenskan
· Regular Season - 12
Vasteras SK FK

Vasteras SK FK

2–0

Full Time

Degerfors IF

Degerfors IF

🏟 Hitachi Energy Arena, Vasteras
🟡 O. Johnson
📋 Regular Season - 12
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium-High Risk

Using a combination of comparison metrics, away team performance has strong backing with a 70% Poisson distribution and a 71% head-to-head advantage, which supports an Away Win. The three-way result comparison also indicates home teams at 29% versus away at 71%, reinforcing this prediction. Despite Vasteras SK's slightly better recent form at 27% compared to Degerfors' 20%, the broader data converges on an away advantage. Season metrics further show that away teams average a better scoring percentage with 62% in the goals metric. Historical H2H evidence, where away wins are dominant, provides additional support. Risk remains medium-high given some conflicting recent form details, but the overall convergence makes the Away Win a strong pick.

Best Value

Away Win or Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market offers additional value by covering the possibility of both an Away Win or a Draw, which enhances the probability to 85%. Comparison metrics and H2H data both lean strongly in favor of the away side, justifying this conservative yet value-packed option. Season statistics, including the goals and defensive records, underline the away team's resilience. The convergence of 70% Poisson and 71% H2H advantage further supports the safety of this choice. While there is some risk from the slightly better home recent form, the value edge is significant. This bet’s calculated value edge is well over the 30% threshold, making it the best optimal pick.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away advantage at 71%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Double chance probability increased to 85%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Vasteras SK FK
Vasteras SK FK
LWDLL
Degerfors IF
Degerfors IF
LDLDD

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Sirius Sirius
13 11 35
2
Hammarby FF Hammarby FF
14 8 26
3
BK Hacken BK Hacken
13 6 23
4
Vasteras SK FK Vasteras SK FK
14 6 22
5
AIK Stockholm AIK Stockholm
13 6 21
6
Djurgardens IF Djurgardens IF
12 6 20
7
Malmo FF Malmo FF
13 6 20
8
Gais Gais
14 5 19
9
IF Elfsborg IF Elfsborg
14 4 18
10
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
13 4 17
11
IF Brommapojkarna IF Brommapojkarna
13 4 16
12
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF
13 4 14
13
IFK Goteborg IFK Goteborg
13 3 13
14
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
13 2 10
15
Orgryte IS Orgryte IS
14 2 10
16
Halmstad Halmstad
13 1 6
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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