Football ›
Liga Profesional Argentina Liga Profesional Argentina
· Clausura - 11
Estudiantes L.P.

Estudiantes L.P.

vs

Not Started

Gimnasia M.

Gimnasia M.

🏟 Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
📋 Clausura - 11
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

82%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 calculated Low Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for a Home Win is favored by multiple metrics: the head-to-head record is 100% in favor of the home side and the Poisson distribution gives a 78% chance for home goals. Additionally, Estudiantes show a strong home scoring tendency with a 67% advantage in goals and a safe defense as indicated by their season clean sheets. The previous H2H match ended 2-1 in their favor, strengthening the odds. Although recent form is moderate at 47% for home, the convergence of h2h, poisson and goals metrics drives confidence. The data provides a consistent edge, warranting a cautious probability of 82%. The risk remains low given the unified signals. This is our top pick based on current evidence.

Best Value

★★★★★

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Goals Over/Under market offers value by selecting Under 2.5 goals, driven by robust seasonal stats: Estudiantes have recorded under 2.5 in 23 out of 26 matches and Gimnasia in 22 out of 26. The convergence of both sides’ under trends, along with comparative Poisson weights, indicates ample protection on the low scoring outcome. With an 88% probability, the under market aligns with the seasonal under_over thresholds and defensive solidity numbers. Although overall scoring averages are modest, this high probability combined with marked edge makes it an optimal value pick. The evidence from both teams’ ratios supports the choice. It carries a value edge rating of 5, reflecting a strong edge above 30%.

88%

prob.

1.14

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

100% h2h advantage and 78% Poisson favor

82%

odds 1.22

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67% in goals and 100% h2h

88%

odds 1.14

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
DWLWW
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
WLWLW

Current Standings

1
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
16 P 9 W 31 Pts
11
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
16 P 5 W 19 Pts
4
Gimnasia M.
Gimnasia M.
10 P 5 W 17 Pts
11
Estudiantes L.P.
Estudiantes L.P.
10 P 3 W 10 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. ●
16 9 31
2
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
16 8 30
3
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
16 7 28
4
Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
16 7 26
5
Independiente Independiente
16 6 24
6
Lanus Lanus
16 6 24
7
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
16 5 22
8
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
16 5 21
9
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
16 6 21
10
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
16 4 19
11
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. ●
16 5 19
12
Platense Platense
16 3 16
13
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
16 4 16
14
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
16 3 15
15
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
16 1 11
1
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
16 10 34
2
River Plate River Plate
16 9 29
3
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
16 8 29
4
Rosario Central Rosario Central
16 8 28
5
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
16 7 26
6
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
16 8 26
7
Huracan Huracan
16 5 22
8
Racing Club Racing Club
16 5 21
9
Barracas Central Barracas Central
16 5 21
10
Tigre Tigre
16 4 20
11
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
16 6 19
12
Banfield Banfield
16 5 18
13
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
16 3 14
14
Aldosivi Aldosivi
16 0 8
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
16 1 5
1
Instituto Cordoba Instituto Cordoba
10 7 22
2
Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
10 5 20
3
Defensa Y Justicia Defensa Y Justicia
10 5 18
4
Gimnasia M. Gimnasia M. ●
10 5 17
5
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
10 4 17
6
Independiente Independiente
10 5 17
7
Lanus Lanus
10 5 16
8
Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys
10 4 16
9
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
10 4 13
10
San Lorenzo San Lorenzo
10 3 11
11
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. ●
10 3 10
12
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
10 2 10
13
Platense Platense
10 2 9
14
Talleres Cordoba Talleres Cordoba
10 2 8
15
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
10 2 8
1
Argentinos JRS Argentinos JRS
10 5 18
2
Rosario Central Rosario Central
10 5 18
3
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
10 5 17
4
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
10 5 17
5
Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba
10 4 16
6
Huracan Huracan
10 4 16
7
Sarmiento Junin Sarmiento Junin
10 5 16
8
River Plate River Plate
10 4 13
9
Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman
10 3 13
10
Tigre Tigre
10 3 12
11
Barracas Central Barracas Central
10 3 12
12
Banfield Banfield
10 2 9
13
Aldosivi Aldosivi
10 2 8
14
Racing Club Racing Club
10 2 8
15
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
10 1 6
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
⚽ 🏀 ⚾ 🎾 🏈

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