Independiente
Not Started
Newells Old Boys
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
88%
confidence
Our analysis converges on a strong likelihood of a low-scoring affair. Season data shows Independiente’s home matches produced Under 2.5 goals in 15 out of 17 games (88%), and Newells’ away fixtures mirror this with 14 under out of 16 (87.5%). The Poisson and under/over thresholds reinforce that scoring will be contained, while H2H results often feature tight scores. In addition, the season trends indicate defensive solidity despite mixed attacking form. This is why Under 2.5 Goals is our best bet, although as always, football remains unpredictable. The evidence from both season and comparative stats gives a high degree of confidence in a low total goal line.
Best Value
Home Win or Draw
Double Chance
Our value analysis identifies Double Chance on Independiente (Home Win or Draw) as a strong candidate. Season data reveals Independiente have secured a home double chance in 7 out of 8 games (87.5%), and this is supported by their solid home record. The comparison metrics, with defensive figures of 38% for home and 62% for away, further emphasize a cautious home performance. H2H evidence is mixed, but season performance underlines reliability in avoiding a loss. With convergence across multiple data points and minimal risk, this option presents an attractive value bet. The high probability with a theoretical value edge gives us strong confidence in this prediction.
88%
prob.
1.14
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
H2H favored away at 71%
75%
odds 1.33
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
Independiente secured a double chance in 7/8 games (87.5%)
88%
odds 1.14
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 16 | 9 | 31 |
| 2 |  Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 30 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 28 |
| 4 |  Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente ● | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 |  Lanus | 16 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 |  San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Instituto Cordoba | 16 | 6 | 21 |
| 10 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 19 |
| 11 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 19 |
| 12 |  Platense | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 16 | 4 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys ● | 16 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Riestra | 16 | 1 | 11 |
| 1 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 34 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 16 | 9 | 29 |
| 3 |  Argentinos JRS | 16 | 8 | 29 |
| 4 |  Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 16 | 8 | 26 |
| 7 |  Huracan | 16 | 5 | 22 |
| 8 |  Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 |  Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 |  Tigre | 16 | 4 | 20 |
| 11 |  Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Banfield | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 |  Atletico Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 14 |
| 14 |  Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 5 |
| 1 | Defensa Y Justicia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | Newells Old Boys ● | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Independiente ● | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Talleres Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Instituto Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Gimnasia M. | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Argentinos JRS | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Belgrano Cordoba | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Banfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Huracan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atletico Tucuman | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Independ. Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Sarmiento Junin | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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