The Goals Over/Under market shows strong evidence with the home team recording 20 under outcomes out of 24 matches (83%) and the away team’s under count of 23 in similar match-ups. The Poisson metric of 70% for the home side and the solid season defensive records support an Under 2.5 outcome. Multiple metrics, including season thresholds and comparison metrics, converge to a high confidence level. Despite balanced H2H results, the seasonal under tendency makes this a compelling choice. This pick is backed by both statistical consistency and season trends.