Derry City
Not Started
Sligo Rovers
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
Derry City have strong indicators with a 63% form and a 76% Poisson win likelihood at home, suggesting a Home Win is the most consistent outcome. Season stats further favor them with an average home goal of 1.5 compared to Sligo's weak away scoring of 0.5. Although H2H results are evenly split at 50%, the overall attacking and defensive metrics heavily favor Derry City. The evidence shows their higher defensive solidity at 74% versus Sligo’s abysmal away defense. Minor risk comes from mixed H2H forms, but overall multiple independent metrics converge. We assign an 85% probability for a Home Win, making it our best bet.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
The Goals Over/Under market offers solid value with Under 2.5 goals strongly supported by season and comparison data. Derry City’s under 2.5 record stands at 20 under vs 2 over, while Sligo Rovers have 21 under to 0 over, indicating a very low scoring affair. This convergence of defensive records (74% for Derry at home and 0% for Sligo in last 5 away games) underlines the likelihood of fewer goals. H2H matches also frequently finish with low totals, bolstering this prediction. With a 90% probability, the value edge is significant, and risk remains minimal. Considering the high statistical edge, we rate this option with a value rating of 5.
90%
prob.
1.11
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Home form at 63% vs away at 38%
85%
odds 1.18
Double Chance
Home or Draw
Derry defense at 74% vs Sligo’s 0% last-5 defense
88%
odds 1.14
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 25 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 25 | 12 | 43 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athl. | 24 | 12 | 42 |
| 4 |  Dundalk | 24 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 |  Shelbourne | 24 | 8 | 34 |
| 6 | Derry City ● | 25 | 6 | 29 |
| 7 |  Galway United | 23 | 7 | 27 |
| 8 |  Drogheda United | 24 | 6 | 25 |
| 9 |  Waterford | 24 | 4 | 21 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers ● | 24 | 5 | 20 |
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